L’École des cotes

Maja Chwalinska v Qinwen Zheng

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Maja Chwalinska (Local)

Prévision 27.27%3.67cote équitable
EV +3.09%
Avantage +0.818%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.30%27.38%27.24%30.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.503.7832.26%28.80%28.57%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Qinwen Zheng (Visiteur)

Prévision 72.73%1.38cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -7.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.98%72.62%72.76%74.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.311.3480.00%76.47%76.34%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +3.09%E +0.818%K +1.11%G +0.034%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -6.91%E -5.40%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 08:47
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.911%E +0.246%K +0.338%G +0.003%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 08:50
Pinnacle3.67I 27.25%NM 26.45%EV +0.093%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.55%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 08:50
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -1.82%E -0.504%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 08:20
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.82%E -0.504%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 07:40
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.82%E -0.504%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.09%E -7.27%K -36.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 07:20
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -2.63%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -2.55%E -1.90%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-25 08:20
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.18%E -0.896%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 07:40
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.18%E -0.896%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.91%E -5.40%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:40
BetOnline.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -3.45%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 08:40
LowVig.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -3.45%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 08:40
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 07:39
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:40
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:20
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:20
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:20
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:40
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.18%E -4.79%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 08:20
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.18%E -4.79%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 08:50
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.91%E -5.40%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 08:49
MyBookie.ag3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -5.09%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 07:39
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 06:30
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 08:20
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 07:40
Fanatics3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 07:40
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:50
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 07:40
PointsBet (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.64%E -6.01%K -28.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 07:40
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -6.18%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:10
DraftKings3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -6.45%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 07:10
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 07:40
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 08:30
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 06:30
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 06:30
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 06:30
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:40
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:20
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 07:39
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 07:40
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 08:20
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 08:30
GTbets3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -9.45%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.91%E -5.40%K -24.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 08:30
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.36%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 08:19
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.45%E -4.98%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 17:56
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig4.02I 24.88%NM 24.72%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.28%0.6%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%2.2%2026-05-25 08:50