La escuela de los momios

Maja Chwalinska v Qinwen Zheng

Inicio: 2026-05-25 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Maja Chwalinska (Local)

Predicción 27.27%3.67momio equitativo
EV +3.09%
Ventaja +0.818%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.034%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.30%27.38%27.24%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.473.503.7832.26%28.80%28.57%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Qinwen Zheng (Visitante)

Predicción 72.73%1.38momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -7.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%72.62%72.76%74.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.311.3480.00%76.47%76.34%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +3.09%E +0.818%K +1.11%G +0.034%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -6.91%E -5.40%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 08:47
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.911%E +0.246%K +0.338%G +0.003%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 08:50
Pinnacle3.67I 27.25%NM 26.45%EV +0.093%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.55%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 08:50
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -1.82%E -0.504%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 08:20
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.82%E -0.504%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 07:40
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.82%E -0.504%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.09%E -7.27%K -36.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 07:20
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -2.63%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -2.55%E -1.90%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-25 08:20
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.18%E -0.896%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 07:40
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.18%E -0.896%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.91%E -5.40%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:40
BetOnline.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -3.45%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 08:40
LowVig.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -3.45%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 08:40
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 07:39
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 06:30
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:40
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:20
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:20
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:20
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:40
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.18%E -4.79%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 08:20
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.18%E -4.79%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 08:50
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.91%E -5.40%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 08:49
MyBookie.ag3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -5.09%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 07:39
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 06:30
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 08:20
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 07:40
Fanatics3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 07:40
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:50
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 07:40
PointsBet (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.64%E -6.01%K -28.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 07:40
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -6.18%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:10
DraftKings3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -6.45%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 07:10
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 07:40
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 08:30
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 06:30
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 06:30
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 06:30
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:40
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:20
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 07:39
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 07:40
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 08:20
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.00%E -3.03%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 08:30
GTbets3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -9.45%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.91%E -5.40%K -24.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 08:30
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.36%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 08:19
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.45%E -4.98%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 17:56
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig4.02I 24.88%NM 24.72%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.28%0.6%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%2.2%2026-05-25 08:50