Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mai Hontama v Taylah Preston

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 08:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

39%

61%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mai Hontama (Local)

Prediction 39.21%2.55fair odd

EV +4.29%

Edge +1.61%

Kelly +2.58%

Growth +0.111%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.21%39.73%38.41%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.342.352.6648.78%42.67%42.55%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Taylah Preston (Visit)

Prediction 60.79%1.64fair odd

EV +3.35%

Edge +1.97%

Kelly +4.79%

Growth +0.160%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.67%60.27%61.59%63.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.451.551.511.7068.97%64.52%66.23%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mai Hontama (Local): 39.21%; Taylah Preston (Visit): 60.79%. For Mai Hontama (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Betway🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -19.63%E -9.58%K -18.69%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV +3.35%E +1.97%K +4.79%G +0.160%	7.6%	2026-05-18 08:11
NordicBet🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV -17.28%E -8.19%K -15.57%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV +2.74%E +1.62%K +3.98%G +0.109%	6.6%	2026-05-18 08:10
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.51%E -0.933%K -2.44%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-18 08:10
PlayUp🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.60%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-18 07:59
Pinnacle🎯	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV +4.29%E +1.61%K +2.58%G +0.111%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-18 08:10
Marathon Bet🎯	2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -2.38%E -0.956%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-18 07:59
BoyleSports🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-05-18 08:10
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.43%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-05-18 07:59
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -11.85%E -8.17%K -26.33%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-05-18 07:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%	3.1%	2026-05-18 08:07