Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lulu Sun v Ma Yexin

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

74%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lulu Sun (Local)

Prediction 74.43%1.34fair odd

EV +7.92%

Edge +5.46%

Kelly +17.61%

Growth +1.39%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.20%73.56%79.37%80.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.131.281.201.4588.50%77.85%83.33%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ma Yexin (Visit)

Prediction 25.57%3.91fair odd

EV +25.04%

Edge +5.12%

Kelly +6.44%

Growth +1.61%

assuming max odds 4.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.70%26.44%20.63%35.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.603.754.404.8938.46%26.69%22.73%20.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lulu Sun (Local): 74.43%; Ma Yexin (Visit): 25.57%. For Ma Yexin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 80.30%EV -10.68%E -8.90%K -53.42%G +0.000%	4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV +25.04%E +5.12%K +6.44%G +1.61%	3.8%	2026-05-19 11:10
GTbets🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.00%EV -12.17%E -10.32%K -67.63%G +0.000%	4.72I 21.19%NM 20.00%EV +20.69%E +4.38%K +5.56%G +1.15%	5.9%	2026-05-19 11:09
PlayUp🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -10.68%E -8.90%K -53.42%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +17.63%E +3.83%K +4.90%G +0.863%	5.1%	2026-05-19 11:10
BoyleSports🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -12.92%E -11.04%K -75.99%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +15.07%E +3.35%K +4.31%G +0.649%	7.7%	2026-05-19 11:10
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -15.90%E -14.07%K -122.27%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV +12.51%E +2.84%K +3.68%G +0.460%	11.2%	2026-05-19 11:10
NordicBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV +4.20%E +3.00%K +10.50%G +0.441%	2.71I 36.90%NM 34.06%EV -30.70%E -11.33%K -17.96%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-19 11:30
Fliff🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV +3.46%E +2.49%K +8.86%G +0.306%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -30.96%E -11.47%K -18.21%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-05-19 11:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV +7.92%E +5.46%K +17.61%G +1.39%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -33.52%E -12.89%K -20.95%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-19 11:30
Betway🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV +7.18%E +4.98%K +16.31%G +1.17%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -33.52%E -12.89%K -20.95%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-19 11:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 67.31%	2.78I 35.97%NM 32.69%	10.0%	2026-05-19 11:29