Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.45
assuming max odds 1.64
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lulu Sun (Local): 40.96%; Claire Liu (Visit): 59.04%. For Lulu Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.346%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.346%E +0.141%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-22 11:27 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -0.883%E -0.365%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.57%E -1.96%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-22 11:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.16%EV -5.39%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.84%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 10:56 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -7.44%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 11:31 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -9.07%E -4.09%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.89%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-22 11:01 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.4% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |