The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Lucrezia Stefanini v Alina Charaeva

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lucrezia Stefanini (Local)

Prediction 14.72%6.79fair odd
EV +17.76%
Edge +2.22%
Kelly +2.54%
Growth +0.450%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%14.47%15.17%17.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.356.188.0018.18%15.75%16.18%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alina Charaeva (Visit)

Prediction 85.28%1.17fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -12.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.71%85.53%84.83%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.101.1593.46%91.00%90.91%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lucrezia Stefanini (Local): 14.72%; Alina Charaeva (Visit): 85.28%. For Lucrezia Stefanini (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.79. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.76%E +2.22%K +2.54%G +0.450%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.90%E -7.31%K -98.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 17:30
theScore Bet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +6.72%E +0.927%K +1.07%G +0.072%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -7.90%E -7.31%K -98.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 17:30
NordicBet🎯6.63I 15.08%NM 13.90%EV -2.41%E -0.363%K -0.428%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.10%EV -8.75%E -8.18%K -125.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯6.35I 15.75%NM 14.77%EV -6.53%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -6.19%E -5.63%K -61.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 17:20
Pinnacle🎯6.18I 16.18%NM 15.57%EV -9.03%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.43%EV -2.78%E -2.44%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 17:21
NetBet (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -14.63%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.43%EV -8.75%E -8.18%K -125.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 17:24
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -15.36%E -2.67%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.19%E -5.63%K -61.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 17:30
Fliff🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -16.10%E -2.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -6.19%E -5.63%K -61.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 17:30
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -19.04%E -3.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -1.93%E -1.68%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎7.19I 13.91%NM 12.21%1.00I 100.00%NM 87.79%13.9%2026-05-19 17:30