The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Lucia Bronzetti v Varvara Lepchenko

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lucia Bronzetti (Local)

Prediction 66.20%1.51fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -7.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.33%66.26%66.26%66.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.421.4673.53%70.82%70.67%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Varvara Lepchenko (Visit)

Prediction 33.80%2.96fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.568%
Kelly -0.865%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.10%33.74%33.74%34.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.9138.46%36.31%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lucia Bronzetti (Local): 66.20%; Varvara Lepchenko (Visit): 33.80%. For Varvara Lepchenko (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.91, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.97%EV -3.34%E -2.29%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -4.36%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.67%E -3.24%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.65%E -0.568%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.33%E -3.73%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.99%E -4.22%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 16:09
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.99%E -4.22%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.65%E -4.72%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.05%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 16:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.32%E -5.23%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.32%E -5.23%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.64%E -6.26%K -22.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.13%E -4.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.25%EV -9.96%E -7.33%K -27.68%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.75%EV -9.76%E -3.66%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%3.7%2026-05-19 16:31