Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.71
assuming max odds 1.64
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linda Klimovicova (Local): 40.17%; Lola Radivojevic (Visit): 59.83%. For Linda Klimovicova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.86%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.06%EV +8.86%E +3.27%K +5.18%G +0.459% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -16.24%E -11.60%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 15:51 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +4.44%E +1.71%K +2.77%G +0.123% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -13.24%E -9.13%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -3.60%E -1.50%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -11.45%E -7.74%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-18 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.40%E -1.85%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 15:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -6.01%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-18 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.63%E -5.29%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 15:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 15:30 |