L’École des cotes

Linda Fruhvirtova v Elsa Jacquemot

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Linda Fruhvirtova (Local)

Prévision 52.82%1.89cote équitable
EV +11.45%
Avantage +5.42%
Kelly +10.31%
Croissance +1.18%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.17%52.65%52.70%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.871.802.1161.73%53.59%55.56%47.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elsa Jacquemot (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.18%2.12cote équitable
EV +6.16%
Avantage +2.74%
Kelly +4.93%
Croissance +0.304%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.86%47.35%47.30%54.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.911.912.2558.82%52.43%52.36%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV +11.45%E +5.42%K +10.31%G +1.18%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -15.07%E -8.37%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 13:10
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +10.92%E +5.20%K +9.93%G +1.08%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -16.49%E -9.32%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 13:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +10.92%E +5.20%K +9.93%G +1.08%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -18.38%E -10.62%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 13:10
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +9.33%E +4.51%K +8.72%G +0.814%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -15.54%E -8.68%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 13:10
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +9.33%E +4.51%K +8.72%G +0.814%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -15.54%E -8.68%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 13:09
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +8.28%E +4.04%K +7.88%G +0.652%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -16.49%E -9.32%K -21.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +8.28%E +4.04%K +7.88%G +0.652%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -16.49%E -9.32%K -21.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 13:10
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +6.69%E +3.31%K +6.56%G +0.439%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -15.54%E -8.68%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +6.69%E +3.31%K +6.56%G +0.439%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -15.54%E -8.68%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +6.69%E +3.31%K +6.56%G +0.439%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -15.54%E -8.68%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 13:50
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +6.69%E +3.31%K +6.56%G +0.439%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -15.54%E -8.68%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 13:50
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +6.69%E +3.31%K +6.56%G +0.439%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -15.54%E -8.68%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 13:50
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +6.69%E +3.31%K +6.56%G +0.439%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -15.54%E -8.68%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 13:50
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV +5.64%E +2.82%K +5.64%G +0.318%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -16.96%E -9.64%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV +5.64%E +2.82%K +5.64%G +0.318%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -16.96%E -9.64%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 13:50
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV +5.64%E +2.82%K +5.64%G +0.318%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -16.96%E -9.64%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 13:50
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV +5.64%E +2.82%K +5.64%G +0.318%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -16.96%E -9.64%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 13:50
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV +1.41%E +0.735%K +1.53%G +0.022%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -19.79%E -11.64%K -28.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-26 13:50
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.882%E +0.462%K +0.970%G +0.009%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 13:50
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -12.71%E -6.87%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.66%E -7.46%K -16.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-26 13:50
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.87%E -2.13%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 13:50
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 13:50
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 13:50
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 13:50
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 13:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 13:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 13:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.51%E -3.68%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.918%E -0.437%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 13:49
TAB1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.51%E -3.68%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.28%E -1.60%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 13:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.51%E -3.68%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:50
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.51%E -3.68%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -7.04%E -4.00%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.52%E -3.84%K -7.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 13:50
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.04%E -4.00%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 13:50
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.04%E -4.00%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.57%E -4.32%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 13:50
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.57%E -4.32%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 13:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.57%E -4.32%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 13:50
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.10%E -4.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -2.33%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 13:50
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.10%E -4.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.62%E -4.99%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.918%E -0.437%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 13:50
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.62%E -4.99%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.28%E -1.60%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -10.21%E -6.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -4.22%E -2.08%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 13:49
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.21%E -6.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-26 13:50
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -11.79%E -7.06%K -17.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +3.80%E +1.73%K +3.17%G +0.120%5.3%2026-05-26 13:47
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.79%E -7.06%K -17.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.918%E -0.437%K -0.834%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 13:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -14.43%E -8.91%K -23.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +6.16%E +2.74%K +4.93%G +0.304%6.2%2026-05-26 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-26 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-05-26 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-05-26 13:50
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%3.6%2026-05-26 13:50
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%4.2%2026-05-26 13:50
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%5.1%2026-05-26 13:50