Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lina Gjorcheska v Suzan Lamens

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

33%

67%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lina Gjorcheska (Local)

Prediction 32.79%3.05fair odd

EV +9.19%

Edge +2.76%

Kelly +3.95%

Growth +0.363%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.85%32.98%32.79%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.832.743.3340.00%35.29%36.50%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Suzan Lamens (Visit)

Prediction 67.21%1.49fair odd

EV +0.813%

Edge +0.542%

Kelly +1.63%

Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.50%67.02%67.21%71.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.311.401.421.5076.34%71.33%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lina Gjorcheska (Local): 32.79%; Suzan Lamens (Visit): 67.21%. For Lina Gjorcheska (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV +9.19%E +2.76%K +3.95%G +0.363%	1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -9.27%E -6.87%K -26.48%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-18 10:40
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 68.88%EV -11.96%E -9.13%K -38.57%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-05-18 10:09
NordicBet🎯	2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -10.15%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -3.89%E -2.72%K -9.05%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-18 10:55
theScore Bet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.46%E -4.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.56%E -3.21%K -10.87%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-18 10:55
BoyleSports🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -18.02%E -7.21%K -12.01%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.813%E +0.542%K +1.63%G +0.013%	6.7%	2026-05-18 10:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%	4.9%	2026-05-18 10:43