Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanlana Tararudee v Despina Papamichail

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanlana Tararudee (Local)

Prediction 76.37%1.31fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.43%77.13%74.52%83.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.221.241.2989.29%82.03%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Despina Papamichail (Visit)

Prediction 23.63%4.23fair odd
EV +34.69%
Edge +6.09%
Kelly +7.38%
Growth +2.56%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.42%22.87%25.48%26.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.203.715.7029.41%23.82%26.92%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanlana Tararudee (Local): 76.37%; Despina Papamichail (Visit): 23.63%. For Despina Papamichail (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +34.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -14.46%E -12.91%K -120.54%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV +34.69%E +6.09%K +7.38%G +2.56%6.8%2026-05-18 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.36%EV -13.70%E -12.12%K -105.39%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.64%EV +33.74%E +5.96%K +7.24%G +2.44%6.2%2026-05-18 08:35
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -14.46%E -12.91%K -120.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +24.05%E +4.58%K +5.66%G +1.36%8.3%2026-05-18 08:35
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.29%EV -1.48%E -1.15%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.71%EV -7.14%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 07:59
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -1.48%E -1.15%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -9.50%E -2.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-18 08:10
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.25%E -1.75%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 07:59
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 08:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.71%EV -3.01%E -2.37%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.29%EV -15.88%E -4.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 08:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -7.59%E -6.27%K -36.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -18.48%E -5.36%K -7.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 07:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.43%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -19.66%E -5.78%K -8.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-18 07:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%3.8%2026-05-18 08:00