Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kristina Mladenovic v Xiyu Wang

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

10%

90%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kristina Mladenovic (Local)

Prediction 9.76%10.25fair odd

EV +12.03%

Edge +1.05%

Kelly +1.15%

Growth +0.138%

assuming max odds 11.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

8.38%9.68%9.90%13.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.909.269.1311.4814.49%10.80%10.96%8.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xiyu Wang (Visit)

Prediction 90.24%1.11fair odd

EV +0.168%

Edge +0.151%

Kelly +1.53%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

86.90%90.32%90.10%91.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.051.051.1199.01%94.97%95.24%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kristina Mladenovic (Local): 9.76%; Xiyu Wang (Visit): 90.24%. For Kristina Mladenovic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	11.48I 8.71%NM 8.38%EV +12.03%E +1.05%K +1.15%G +0.138%	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.62%EV -5.25%E -5.00%K -104.93%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-05-19 14:40
BoyleSports🎯	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +7.34%E +0.668%K +0.734%G +0.054%	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.34%E -4.10%K -72.40%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-19 14:40
PlayUp🎯	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -7.29%E -0.768%K -0.858%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.44%E -3.22%K -49.16%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-05-19 15:10
theScore Bet🎯	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.29%E -0.768%K -0.858%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.25%E -5.00%K -104.93%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-19 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯	9.25I 10.81%NM 9.84%EV -9.73%E -1.05%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 90.16%EV -8.86%E -8.77%K -885.60%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-05-19 14:40
Betway🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.17%E -1.35%K -1.52%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.25%E -5.00%K -104.93%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-19 14:40
GTbets🎯	8.94I 11.19%NM 11.04%EV -12.76%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 88.96%EV +0.168%E +0.151%K +1.53%G +0.003%	1.3%	2026-05-19 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯	8.80I 11.36%NM 10.66%EV -14.13%E -1.61%K -1.81%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.34%EV -5.25%E -5.00%K -104.93%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-19 14:40
NordicBet🎯	8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -19.98%E -2.44%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -6.15%E -5.91%K -153.72%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-19 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	6.90I 14.49%NM 13.10%EV -32.67%E -4.73%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 86.90%EV -6.15%E -5.91%K -153.72%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-05-19 15:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.