Language:English
Katie Boulter v Anastasia Potapova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katie Boulter (Local)
Prediction 25.50%3.92fair odd
EV +27.49%
Edge +5.50%
Kelly +6.87%
Growth +1.89%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.70%25.12%25.41%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.943.905.0032.26%25.40%25.64%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anastasia Potapova (Visit)
Prediction 74.50%1.34fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -10.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.26%74.88%74.59%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.241.251.3086.96%80.51%80.32%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Boulter (Local): 25.50%; Anastasia Potapova (Visit): 74.50%. For Katie Boulter (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 24 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +27.49%E +5.50%K +6.87%G +1.89% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -14.32%E -12.46%K -95.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.47%EV +21.88%E +4.58%K +5.79%G +1.27% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.53%EV -8.36%E -6.80%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-28 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +17.55%E +3.81%K +4.86%G +0.853% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +17.55%E +3.81%K +4.86%G +0.853% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.45%EV +15.76%E +3.47%K +4.45%G +0.702% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.55%EV -7.62%E -6.14%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +14.74%E +3.28%K +4.21%G +0.621% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -9.85%E -8.14%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +14.74%E +3.28%K +4.21%G +0.621% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 17:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +10.92%E +2.51%K +3.26%G +0.356% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +9.64%E +2.24%K +2.92%G +0.282% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +9.64%E +2.24%K +2.92%G +0.282% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +9.64%E +2.24%K +2.92%G +0.282% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +9.64%E +2.24%K +2.92%G +0.282% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:37 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +9.64%E +2.24%K +2.92%G +0.282% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +8.37%E +1.97%K +2.58%G +0.216% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 17:37 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +7.09%E +1.69%K +2.22%G +0.157% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +7.09%E +1.69%K +2.22%G +0.157% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +7.09%E +1.69%K +2.22%G +0.157% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +7.09%E +1.69%K +2.22%G +0.157% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:48 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +4.54%E +1.11%K +1.47%G +0.067% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV +4.54%E +1.11%K +1.47%G +0.067% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -9.85%E -8.14%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.99%E +0.499%K +0.665%G +0.013% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.99%E +0.499%K +0.665%G +0.013% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:47 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.99%E +0.499%K +0.665%G +0.013% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 17:48 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +1.99%E +0.499%K +0.665%G +0.013% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -9.85%E -8.14%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 17:48 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.556%E -0.142%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.556%E -0.142%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.556%E -0.142%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.556%E -0.142%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -1.83%E -0.475%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -9.85%E -8.14%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.11%E -0.817%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.11%E -0.817%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -3.11%E -0.817%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.36%E -6.80%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -3.11%E -0.817%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.36%E -6.80%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.21%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 17:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 17:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.31%EV -13.81%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.69%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.31%EV -13.81%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.69%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.92%EV -15.09%E -4.53%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.08%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -17.13%E -5.27%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -20.95%E -6.76%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Novig◎ | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.25% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.75% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |