Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katherine Sebov v Viktoria Hruncakova

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katherine Sebov (Local)

Prediction 42.76%2.34fair odd
EV +2.61%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.87%
Growth +0.049%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%43.36%42.76%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.192.302.4051.28%45.66%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Viktoria Hruncakova (Visit)

Prediction 57.24%1.75fair odd
EV +7.62%
Edge +4.05%
Kelly +8.66%
Growth +0.660%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%56.64%57.24%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.661.541.8865.36%60.29%64.94%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katherine Sebov (Local): 42.76%; Viktoria Hruncakova (Visit): 57.24%. For Viktoria Hruncakova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -15.77%E -8.01%K -16.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV +7.62%E +4.05%K +8.66%G +0.660%4.0%2026-05-19 09:10
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -16.63%E -8.53%K -17.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +7.05%E +3.77%K +8.10%G +0.571%4.8%2026-05-19 09:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -14.49%E -7.24%K -14.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.967%E -0.559%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 09:42
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV +2.61%E +1.09%K +1.87%G +0.049%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -11.84%E -7.69%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 09:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.76%E +0.739%K +1.27%G +0.022%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.42%E -8.12%K -23.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -0.380%E -0.163%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -12.42%E -8.12%K -23.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 09:50
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -1.66%E -0.723%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -12.42%E -8.12%K -23.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 09:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%7.4%2026-05-19 09:50