La scuola delle quote

Kaitlin Quevedo v Leolia Jeanjean

Inizio: 2026-05-25 13:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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42 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kaitlin Quevedo (Casa)

Previsione 48.18%2.08quota equa
EV +4.55%
Vantaggio +2.10%
Kelly +3.89%
Crescita +0.177%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.82%48.42%48.00%55.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.931.932.1759.88%51.83%51.81%46.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Leolia Jeanjean (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.82%1.93quota equa
EV +8.82%
Vantaggio +4.20%
Kelly +8.02%
Crescita +0.707%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%51.58%52.00%58.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.831.802.1064.10%54.72%55.56%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -19.54%E -11.70%K -29.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +8.82%E +4.20%K +8.02%G +0.707%7.5%2026-05-25 13:20
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -12.79%E -7.07%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV +4.68%E +2.31%K +4.58%G +0.214%4.8%2026-05-25 13:20
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.28%E -7.38%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.64%E +1.82%K +3.64%G +0.132%5.6%2026-05-25 13:20
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.28%E -7.38%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.64%E +1.82%K +3.64%G +0.132%5.6%2026-05-25 13:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -16.65%E -9.62%K -22.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +3.64%E +1.82%K +3.64%G +0.132%7.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -16.65%E -9.62%K -22.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +3.64%E +1.82%K +3.64%G +0.132%7.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -10.87%E -5.87%K -12.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV +1.57%E +0.799%K +1.63%G +0.026%5.1%2026-05-25 13:19
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.02%E -0.536%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.02%E -0.536%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.42%E -5.01%K -10.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.02%E -0.536%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 13:20
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -10.38%E -5.58%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:20
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -10.87%E -5.87%K -12.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 13:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.87%E -5.87%K -12.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.83%E -6.46%K -14.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:17
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -3.16%E -1.57%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.21%E -3.43%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 07:19
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -13.76%E -7.69%K -17.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.72%EV -6.21%E -3.43%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.68%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.68%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.68%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 13:20
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.68%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 13:20
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.68%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 13:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 13:20
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.46%E -4.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 13:20
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.46%E -4.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -4.60%E -2.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.76%E -4.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.76%E -4.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -12.31%E -6.76%K -15.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -7.76%E -4.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 13:19
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.28%E -4.68%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 13:20
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -1.71%E -0.839%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.80%E -5.00%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:20
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.80%E -5.00%K -11.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 13:20
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +1.18%E +0.561%K +1.07%G +0.013%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -9.32%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.32%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.32%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.32%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:20
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 13:20
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +1.18%E +0.561%K +1.07%G +0.013%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.39%E -6.66%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +1.18%E +0.561%K +1.07%G +0.013%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.39%E -6.66%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.91%E -7.00%K -17.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.82%EV +4.55%E +2.10%K +3.89%G +0.177%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -19.16%E -12.28%K -34.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 13:18
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-05-25 13:20
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%6.3%2026-05-25 13:18
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%7.2%2026-05-25 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%7.2%2026-05-25 13:20
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-05-25 13:20