L’École des cotes

Kaitlin Quevedo v Leolia Jeanjean

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kaitlin Quevedo (Local)

Prévision 48.18%2.08cote équitable
EV +4.55%
Avantage +2.10%
Kelly +3.89%
Croissance +0.177%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.82%48.42%48.00%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.931.932.1759.88%51.83%51.81%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leolia Jeanjean (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.82%1.93cote équitable
EV +8.82%
Avantage +4.20%
Kelly +8.02%
Croissance +0.707%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%51.58%52.00%58.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.831.802.1064.10%54.72%55.56%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -19.54%E -11.70%K -29.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +8.82%E +4.20%K +8.02%G +0.707%7.5%2026-05-25 13:20
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -12.79%E -7.07%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV +4.68%E +2.31%K +4.58%G +0.214%4.8%2026-05-25 13:20
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.28%E -7.38%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.64%E +1.82%K +3.64%G +0.132%5.6%2026-05-25 13:20
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.28%E -7.38%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.64%E +1.82%K +3.64%G +0.132%5.6%2026-05-25 13:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -16.65%E -9.62%K -22.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +3.64%E +1.82%K +3.64%G +0.132%7.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -16.65%E -9.62%K -22.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +3.64%E +1.82%K +3.64%G +0.132%7.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -10.87%E -5.87%K -12.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV +1.57%E +0.799%K +1.63%G +0.026%5.1%2026-05-25 13:19
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.02%E -0.536%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.02%E -0.536%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.42%E -5.01%K -10.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.02%E -0.536%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 13:20
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -10.38%E -5.58%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:20
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -10.87%E -5.87%K -12.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 13:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.87%E -5.87%K -12.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.83%E -6.46%K -14.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:17
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -3.16%E -1.57%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.21%E -3.43%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 07:19
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -13.76%E -7.69%K -17.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.72%EV -6.21%E -3.43%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.68%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.68%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.68%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 13:20
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.68%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 13:20
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.68%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 13:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 13:20
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.46%E -4.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 13:20
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.46%E -4.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -4.60%E -2.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.76%E -4.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.76%E -4.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -12.31%E -6.76%K -15.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -7.76%E -4.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 13:19
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.28%E -4.68%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 13:20
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -1.71%E -0.839%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.80%E -5.00%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 13:20
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.80%E -5.00%K -11.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 13:20
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +1.18%E +0.561%K +1.07%G +0.013%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -9.32%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.32%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.32%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.32%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:20
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 13:20
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +1.18%E +0.561%K +1.07%G +0.013%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.39%E -6.66%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +1.18%E +0.561%K +1.07%G +0.013%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.39%E -6.66%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 13:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.91%E -7.00%K -17.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.82%EV +4.55%E +2.10%K +3.89%G +0.177%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -19.16%E -12.28%K -34.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 13:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-05-25 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-05-25 13:20
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%6.3%2026-05-25 13:18
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%7.2%2026-05-25 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%7.2%2026-05-25 13:20
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-05-25 13:20