Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Julia Grabher v Rebecca Sramkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 10:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Julia Grabher (Local)

Prévision 36.93%2.71cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.12%37.07%36.97%39.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.552.552.6242.02%39.20%39.22%38.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rebecca Sramkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.07%1.59cote équitable
EV -0.975%
Avantage -0.621%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.25%62.93%63.03%63.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.511.511.5768.03%66.22%66.23%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Julia Grabher (Local) : 36.93% ; Rebecca Sramkova (Visiteur) : 63.07%. Pour Rebecca Sramkova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.59. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.57, pour une espérance de -0.975% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.25%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-25 10:40
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.25%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-25 10:40
DraftKings🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:40
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 10:39
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 10:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.13%E -2.72%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 10:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.13%E -2.72%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 10:40
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 10:39
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 10:40
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 10:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:40
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:40
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.28%E -4.95%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -4.73%E -1.83%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 10:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -4.73%E -1.83%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 10:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.73%E -1.83%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 10:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -5.10%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 10:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 10:40
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.13%E -2.72%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 10:40
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:40
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:40
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:40
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 10:29
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 10:29
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.13%E -2.72%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 10:40
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.13%E -2.72%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 10:40
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 10:40
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 10:35
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.12%E -5.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.975%E -0.621%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 10:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-05-25 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-05-25 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-05-25 10:40
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-05-25 10:40
Novig2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%2.7%2026-05-25 10:40