La escuela de los momios

Julia Grabher v Rebecca Sramkova

Inicio: 2026-05-25 10:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Julia Grabher (Local)

Predicción 36.93%2.71momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.12%37.07%36.97%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.552.552.6242.02%39.20%39.22%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rebecca Sramkova (Visitante)

Predicción 63.07%1.59momio equitativo
EV -0.975%
Ventaja -0.621%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%62.93%63.03%63.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.511.511.5768.03%66.22%66.23%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.25%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-25 10:40
FanDuel2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.25%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-25 10:40
DraftKings2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:40
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 10:39
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 10:29
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.13%E -2.72%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 10:40
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.13%E -2.72%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 10:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 10:39
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 10:40
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 10:40
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:40
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:39
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 10:39
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.28%E -4.95%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 10:40
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -4.73%E -1.83%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 10:35
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -4.73%E -1.83%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 10:35
MyBookie.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.73%E -1.83%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 10:40
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -5.10%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 10:39
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 10:40
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.13%E -2.72%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 10:40
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:40
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:40
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:40
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 10:40
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 10:29
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 10:29
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 10:40
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.13%E -2.72%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 10:40
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.13%E -2.72%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 10:40
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 10:40
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 10:40
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 10:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 10:40
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 10:40
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.39%E -3.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 10:35
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.12%E -5.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.975%E -0.621%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 10:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-05-25 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-05-25 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-05-25 10:40
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-05-25 10:40
Novig2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%2.7%2026-05-25 10:40