L’École des cotes

Julia Grabher v Amanda Anisimova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Julia Grabher (Local)

Prévision 18.42%5.43cote équitable
EV +6.82%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.097%

avec la cote maximale 5.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.43%18.45%18.57%20.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.145.105.8022.22%19.45%19.61%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Amanda Anisimova (Visiteur)

Prévision 81.58%1.23cote équitable
EV -0.469%
Avantage -0.384%
Kelly -2.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.37%81.55%81.43%83.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.161.171.2288.50%85.90%85.47%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +6.82%E +1.18%K +1.42%G +0.097%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.00%E -6.14%K -49.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 13:52
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +4.98%E +0.873%K +1.06%G +0.053%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 13:49
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +4.98%E +0.873%K +1.06%G +0.053%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.81%E -6.91%K -60.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:49
Pinnacle5.63I 17.76%NM 17.33%EV +3.69%E +0.655%K +0.797%G +0.029%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.67%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-28 13:40
Winamax (DE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +3.14%E +0.560%K +0.682%G +0.021%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-28 13:49
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-28 14:09
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 13:49
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.00%E -6.14%K -49.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 13:49
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 13:39
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 13:39
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.548%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 14:19
MyBookie.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.548%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 14:00
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.548%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:49
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:19
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:19
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 14:20
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:40
Betsson5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:50
NordicBet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:49
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:49
BetAnything5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:59
GTbets5.13I 19.49%NM 19.21%EV -5.52%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.79%EV -0.469%E -0.384%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-28 13:39
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:20
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:19
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:19
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
Fliff5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 14:09
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -6.99%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 14:20
Marathon Bet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -6.99%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 14:19
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 14:19
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 13:39
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:39
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:40
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:19
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:20
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:19
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:19
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:49
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 14:09
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 14:09
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 13:39
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 14:19
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 13:38
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 14:19
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.00%E -6.14%K -49.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 13:40
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 14:09
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 14:09
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 14:09
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.68%E -2.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 14:19
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 13:40
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -17.12%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 13:30
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -17.12%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 14:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-28 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-28 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-28 13:59
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-05-28 14:20
Novig5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21%1.8%2026-05-28 14:19
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%2.9%2026-05-28 13:50