La escuela de los momios

Julia Grabher v Amanda Anisimova

Inicio: 2026-05-28 14:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Julia Grabher (Local)

Predicción 18.42%5.43momio equitativo
EV +6.82%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.097%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.43%18.45%18.57%20.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.145.105.8022.22%19.45%19.61%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Amanda Anisimova (Visitante)

Predicción 81.58%1.23momio equitativo
EV -0.469%
Ventaja -0.384%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.37%81.55%81.43%83.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.161.171.2288.50%85.90%85.47%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +6.82%E +1.18%K +1.42%G +0.097%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.00%E -6.14%K -49.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 13:52
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +4.98%E +0.873%K +1.06%G +0.053%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 13:49
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +4.98%E +0.873%K +1.06%G +0.053%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.81%E -6.91%K -60.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:49
Pinnacle5.63I 17.76%NM 17.33%EV +3.69%E +0.655%K +0.797%G +0.029%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.67%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-28 13:40
Winamax (DE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +3.14%E +0.560%K +0.682%G +0.021%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-28 13:49
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-28 14:09
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 13:49
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.00%E -6.14%K -49.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 13:49
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 13:39
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 13:39
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.548%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 14:19
MyBookie.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.548%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 14:00
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.548%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:49
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:19
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:19
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 14:20
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:40
Betsson5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:50
NordicBet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:49
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:49
BetAnything5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:59
GTbets5.13I 19.49%NM 19.21%EV -5.52%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.79%EV -0.469%E -0.384%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-28 13:39
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:20
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:19
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:19
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 14:09
Fliff5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 14:09
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -6.99%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 14:20
Marathon Bet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -6.99%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 14:19
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 14:19
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 13:39
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:39
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:40
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:19
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:20
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:19
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:19
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:49
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 14:09
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 14:09
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 13:39
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 14:19
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 13:38
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 14:19
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.00%E -6.14%K -49.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 13:40
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 14:09
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 14:09
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 14:09
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.68%E -2.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 14:19
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 13:40
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -17.12%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 13:30
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -17.12%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 14:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-28 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-28 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-28 13:59
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-05-28 14:20
Novig5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21%1.8%2026-05-28 14:19
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%2.9%2026-05-28 13:50