Language:English
Jasmine Paolini v Solana Sierra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Prediction 67.01%1.49fair odd
EV +8.55%
Edge +5.28%
Kelly +13.79%
Growth +1.18%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.80%66.49%67.90%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.451.431.6276.92%69.05%69.93%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Solana Sierra (Visit)
Prediction 32.99%3.03fair odd
EV +7.23%
Edge +2.22%
Kelly +3.21%
Growth +0.232%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%33.51%32.10%40.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.722.703.2542.55%36.82%37.04%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 67.01%; Solana Sierra (Visit): 32.99%. For Jasmine Paolini (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.49. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV +8.55%E +5.28%K +13.79%G +1.18% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -20.49%E -8.50%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 16:18 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV +8.55%E +5.28%K +13.79%G +1.18% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -20.49%E -8.50%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 16:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV +7.88%E +4.90%K +12.92%G +1.02% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -18.18%E -7.33%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV +5.87%E +3.72%K +10.12%G +0.594% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -22.47%E -9.56%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV +5.20%E +3.31%K +9.12%G +0.475% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -17.52%E -7.01%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV +5.20%E +3.31%K +9.12%G +0.475% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -19.17%E -7.82%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 16:18 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV +5.20%E +3.31%K +9.12%G +0.475% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -21.48%E -9.02%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 16:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV +5.20%E +3.31%K +9.12%G +0.475% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -22.47%E -9.56%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 16:11 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV +4.53%E +2.90%K +8.09%G +0.367% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -19.17%E -7.82%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV +4.53%E +2.90%K +8.09%G +0.367% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -19.17%E -7.82%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +3.86%E +2.49%K +7.02%G +0.271% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -19.17%E -7.82%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 16:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +3.19%E +2.07%K +5.91%G +0.189% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -15.87%E -6.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 15:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV +2.52%E +1.65%K +4.76%G +0.120% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -14.22%E -5.47%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV +2.52%E +1.65%K +4.76%G +0.120% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -20.16%E -8.33%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +1.85%E +1.22%K +3.56%G +0.066% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -17.52%E -7.01%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV +1.85%E +1.22%K +3.56%G +0.066% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -18.18%E -7.33%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 16:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV +1.18%E +0.782%K +2.31%G +0.027% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -14.88%E -5.77%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +1.18%E +0.782%K +2.31%G +0.027% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -15.87%E -6.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 16:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +1.18%E +0.782%K +2.31%G +0.027% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -15.87%E -6.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +0.510%E +0.340%K +1.02%G +0.005% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -13.56%E -5.17%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 16:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +0.510%E +0.340%K +1.02%G +0.005% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -14.22%E -5.47%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 15:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -0.830%E -0.561%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 16:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -0.830%E -0.561%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -14.22%E -5.47%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 16:18 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.56%E -5.17%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 16:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV +3.27%E +1.04%K +1.53%G +0.050% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.28%E +0.735%K +1.08%G +0.025% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.02%E -0.340%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -2.67%E -0.905%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 16:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -5.31%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +3.93%E +1.25%K +1.83%G +0.072% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +0.629%E +0.206%K +0.307%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.02%E -0.340%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.88%E -8.18%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +5.58%E +1.74%K +2.54%G +0.141% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -10.88%E -8.18%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV +0.299%E +0.098%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 16:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -10.88%E -8.18%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV +0.299%E +0.098%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -10.88%E -8.18%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.97%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.73%EV -12.22%E -9.33%K -39.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -12.89%E -9.92%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +7.23%E +2.22%K +3.21%G +0.232% | 7.7% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80% | 1.8% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 16:20 |