Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.00
assuming max odds 2.09
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iva Jović (Local): 52.40%; Emma Navarro (Visit): 47.60%. For Iva Jović (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.80%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +4.80%E +2.40%K +4.80%G +0.231% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -14.32%E -7.96%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +2.18%E +1.12%K +2.30%G +0.050% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.94%E -6.46%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +2.18%E +1.12%K +2.30%G +0.050% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.94%E -6.46%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV +1.13%E +0.588%K +1.22%G +0.014% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -14.32%E -7.96%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.087%E +0.045%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.89%E -7.05%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.087%E +0.045%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.32%E -7.96%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -0.437%E -0.230%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -8.61%E -4.48%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.49%E -0.790%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.49%E -0.790%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.49%E -0.790%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.49%E -0.790%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.49%E -0.790%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.99%E -5.88%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -2.53%E -1.36%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.06%E -1.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.519%E -0.248%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.85%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 08:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.71%E -3.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.71%E -3.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -10.99%E -5.88%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -11.94%E -6.46%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -14.32%E -7.96%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.33%E -2.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.42%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.85%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -5.28%E -2.65%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 09:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -6.20%E -3.46%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -1.47%E -0.711%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -6.20%E -3.46%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -1.47%E -0.711%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.20%E -3.46%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.85%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.20%E -3.46%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.85%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.73%E -3.78%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.33%E -2.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.73%E -3.78%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.25%E -4.10%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.42%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.25%E -4.10%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.25%E -4.10%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -7.77%E -4.42%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -5.75%E -2.91%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -7.77%E -4.42%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.23%E -3.16%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.30%E -4.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -8.82%E -5.07%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -6.71%E -3.42%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.35%E -5.40%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.35%E -5.40%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.86%EV -9.35%E -5.40%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -7.66%E -3.95%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -9.87%E -5.74%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -4.33%E -2.15%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.87%E -5.74%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.39%E -6.08%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.42%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -10.92%E -6.42%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -11.97%E -7.12%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -7.66%E -3.95%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |