Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Greet Minnen v Lola Radivojevic

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Greet Minnen (Local)

Prediction 41.55%2.41fair odd
EV +4.70%
Edge +1.87%
Kelly +3.09%
Growth +0.145%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.24%42.58%39.97%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.182.302.5255.56%45.80%43.48%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lola Radivojevic (Visit)

Prediction 58.45%1.71fair odd
EV +11.64%
Edge +6.10%
Kelly +12.79%
Growth +1.49%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%57.42%60.03%61.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.641.561.9167.57%60.87%64.10%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Greet Minnen (Local): 41.55%; Lola Radivojevic (Visit): 58.45%. For Lola Radivojevic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -23.97%E -13.10%K -28.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +11.64%E +6.10%K +12.79%G +1.49%7.0%2026-05-20 09:49
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -25.21%E -14.01%K -31.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV +9.31%E +4.98%K +10.70%G +0.995%9.0%2026-05-20 09:49
NordicBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -18.57%E -9.47%K -19.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV +2.29%E +1.31%K +3.05%G +0.070%8.2%2026-05-20 09:49
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -18.98%E -9.73%K -19.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV +2.29%E +1.31%K +3.05%G +0.070%8.4%2026-05-20 09:47
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 12:50
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV +4.70%E +1.87%K +3.09%G +0.145%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 09:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 09:39
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.79%E +0.732%K +1.24%G +0.022%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.40%E -6.06%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:29
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.57%E -6.91%K -19.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 09:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -11.74%E -7.77%K -23.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 09:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.95%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.05%EV -13.49%E -9.12%K -28.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 09:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-05-20 09:46
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%4.0%2026-05-20 09:49