Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.10
assuming max odds 1.57
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gabriela Knutson (Local): 33.09%; Martina Trevisan (Visit): 66.91%. For Martina Trevisan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.04%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -23.88%E -10.38%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +5.04%E +3.21%K +8.85%G +0.446% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 12:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -6.35%E -2.24%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.97%EV -2.32%E -1.59%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-18 08:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.99%E -2.06%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 11:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -8.00%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -4.02%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -4.36%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -7.67%E -5.56%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 04:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.719%E -0.240%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.01%E -6.62%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -10.65%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -9.01%E -6.62%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-18 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -10.65%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -9.01%E -6.62%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-18 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +2.59%E +0.836%K +1.23%G +0.032% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.01%E -8.28%K -33.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV +0.605%E +0.199%K +0.296%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -11.01%E -8.28%K -33.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 12:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 12:01 |