Language:English
Francesca Jones v Beatriz Haddad Maia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Francesca Jones (Local)
Prediction 59.26%1.69fair odd
EV -0.448%
Edge -0.267%
Kelly -0.659%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.16%59.30%61.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.611.611.6864.10%62.05%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Beatriz Haddad Maia (Visit)
Prediction 40.74%2.45fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.582%
Kelly +0.973%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.97%40.84%40.70%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.302.4945.45%43.16%43.48%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francesca Jones (Local): 59.26%; Beatriz Haddad Maia (Visit): 40.74%. For Beatriz Haddad Maia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +1.45%E +0.582%K +0.973%G +0.014% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +1.45%E +0.582%K +0.973%G +0.014% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 13:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV +0.635%E +0.257%K +0.432%G +0.003% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.82%E -1.72%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.40%E -0.579%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 13:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -1.81%E -0.751%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 13:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.22%E -0.924%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.22%E -0.924%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 13:08 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.60%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.60%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.60%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 13:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.66%E -1.99%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.66%E -1.99%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.60%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.07%E -2.18%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -0.448%E -0.267%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -5.48%E -2.36%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.36%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 12:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.82%E -1.72%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.82%E -1.72%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.60%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.60%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.60%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 12:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.04%E -0.623%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-24 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-24 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-24 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-24 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 13:20 |