L’École des cotes

Emma Navarro v Janice Tjen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Emma Navarro (Local)

Prévision 83.07%1.20cote équitable
EV +8.82%
Avantage +6.74%
Kelly +28.47%
Croissance +2.51%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.93%81.87%83.82%86.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.171.141.3192.59%85.47%87.72%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Janice Tjen (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.93%5.91cote équitable
EV +16.63%
Avantage +2.41%
Kelly +2.82%
Croissance +0.470%

avec la cote maximale 6.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.88%18.13%16.18%27.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.535.105.406.8928.33%19.62%18.52%14.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV +8.82%E +6.74%K +28.47%G +2.51%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV -36.86%E -9.88%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-26 08:59
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV +8.82%E +6.74%K +28.47%G +2.51%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -40.24%E -11.40%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 08:59
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV +6.33%E +4.95%K +22.61%G +1.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -33.98%E -8.71%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV +5.50%E +4.33%K +20.38%G +1.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -35.67%E -9.39%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV +5.50%E +4.33%K +20.38%G +1.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -36.52%E -9.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:03
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV +5.50%E +4.33%K +20.38%G +1.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -36.52%E -9.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:09
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV +5.50%E +4.33%K +20.38%G +1.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -36.52%E -9.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:09
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV +5.50%E +4.33%K +20.38%G +1.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -39.91%E -11.24%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV +4.67%E +3.71%K +17.96%G +0.839%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -37.37%E -10.10%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:00
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV +3.84%E +3.07%K +15.36%G +0.590%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -25.52%E -5.80%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-26 09:10
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV +3.84%E +3.07%K +15.36%G +0.590%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -30.59%E -7.46%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 09:04
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +3.84%E +3.07%K +15.36%G +0.590%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -32.29%E -8.07%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:10
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +3.84%E +3.07%K +15.36%G +0.590%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -32.29%E -8.07%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:02
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV +3.01%E +2.43%K +12.54%G +0.377%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -30.59%E -7.46%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:07
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV +3.01%E +2.43%K +12.54%G +0.377%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -32.29%E -8.07%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV +3.01%E +2.43%K +12.54%G +0.377%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -32.29%E -8.07%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:06
MyBookie.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV +3.01%E +2.43%K +12.54%G +0.377%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -39.06%E -10.85%K -15.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 08:59
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV +2.18%E +1.77%K +9.47%G +0.206%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -26.02%E -5.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV +2.18%E +1.77%K +9.47%G +0.206%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -26.02%E -5.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +1.35%E +1.10%K +6.13%G +0.083%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -28.90%E -6.88%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.98%E -1.67%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 09:19
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.81%E -2.40%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -19.59%E -4.12%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 09:18
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.18%EV -2.81%E -2.40%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -24.67%E -5.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 09:12
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.47%E -3.88%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.59%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:20
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.47%E -3.88%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:20
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.20%E -0.929%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:20
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.90%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:20
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.59%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:19
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.59%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:19
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.59%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:19
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.97%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.97%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.97%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +5.80%E +0.928%K +1.10%G +0.064%5.3%2026-05-26 09:19
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%6.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%6.0%2026-05-26 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.66%E -0.463%K -0.561%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.90%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:20
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.90%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:20
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.90%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:20
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.13%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.88%EV +16.63%E +2.41%K +2.82%G +0.470%4.6%2026-05-26 09:19
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +13.42%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.316%5.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.03%E +1.54%K +1.82%G +0.183%5.5%2026-05-26 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.03%E +1.54%K +1.82%G +0.183%5.5%2026-05-26 09:20
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%6.8%2026-05-26 09:20
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%6.8%2026-05-26 09:19
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%6.8%2026-05-26 09:20
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%6.8%2026-05-26 09:19
Grosvenor1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -5.20%E -0.929%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.62%E -7.84%K -86.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +10.03%E +1.54%K +1.82%G +0.183%6.3%2026-05-26 09:20
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -8.62%E -7.84%K -86.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +5.80%E +0.928%K +1.10%G +0.064%6.9%2026-05-26 09:19
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 84.33%EV -8.62%E -7.84%K -86.21%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.67%EV +0.214%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 09:20
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 83.99%EV -8.62%E -7.84%K -86.21%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.01%EV -2.33%E -0.403%K -0.487%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 09:20
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -8.62%E -7.84%K -86.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -2.66%E -0.463%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 09:20
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -8.62%E -7.84%K -86.21%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -4.36%E -0.771%K -0.937%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:19
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -9.45%E -8.67%K -105.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%8.4%2026-05-26 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.53%EV -10.28%E -9.52%K -128.53%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -0.124%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 09:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%0.1%2026-05-26 09:20
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-26 09:20
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-26 09:20
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 85.27%6.37I 15.70%NM 14.73%6.6%2026-05-26 09:20