La escuela de los momios

Emma Navarro v Janice Tjen

Inicio: 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Emma Navarro (Local)

Predicción 83.07%1.20momio equitativo
EV +8.82%
Ventaja +6.74%
Kelly +28.47%
Crecimiento +2.51%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.93%81.87%83.82%86.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.171.141.3192.59%85.47%87.72%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Janice Tjen (Visitante)

Predicción 16.93%5.91momio equitativo
EV +16.63%
Ventaja +2.41%
Kelly +2.82%
Crecimiento +0.470%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.88%18.13%16.18%27.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.535.105.406.8928.33%19.62%18.52%14.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV +8.82%E +6.74%K +28.47%G +2.51%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV -36.86%E -9.88%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-26 08:59
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV +8.82%E +6.74%K +28.47%G +2.51%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -40.24%E -11.40%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 08:59
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV +6.33%E +4.95%K +22.61%G +1.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -33.98%E -8.71%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV +5.50%E +4.33%K +20.38%G +1.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -35.67%E -9.39%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV +5.50%E +4.33%K +20.38%G +1.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -36.52%E -9.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:03
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV +5.50%E +4.33%K +20.38%G +1.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -36.52%E -9.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:09
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV +5.50%E +4.33%K +20.38%G +1.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -36.52%E -9.74%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:09
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV +5.50%E +4.33%K +20.38%G +1.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -39.91%E -11.24%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV +4.67%E +3.71%K +17.96%G +0.839%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -37.37%E -10.10%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:00
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV +3.84%E +3.07%K +15.36%G +0.590%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -25.52%E -5.80%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-26 09:10
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV +3.84%E +3.07%K +15.36%G +0.590%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -30.59%E -7.46%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 09:04
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +3.84%E +3.07%K +15.36%G +0.590%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -32.29%E -8.07%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:10
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +3.84%E +3.07%K +15.36%G +0.590%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -32.29%E -8.07%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:02
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV +3.01%E +2.43%K +12.54%G +0.377%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -30.59%E -7.46%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:07
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV +3.01%E +2.43%K +12.54%G +0.377%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -32.29%E -8.07%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV +3.01%E +2.43%K +12.54%G +0.377%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -32.29%E -8.07%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:06
MyBookie.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV +3.01%E +2.43%K +12.54%G +0.377%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -39.06%E -10.85%K -15.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 08:59
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV +2.18%E +1.77%K +9.47%G +0.206%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -26.02%E -5.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV +2.18%E +1.77%K +9.47%G +0.206%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -26.02%E -5.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +1.35%E +1.10%K +6.13%G +0.083%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -28.90%E -6.88%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.98%E -1.67%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 09:19
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.81%E -2.40%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -19.59%E -4.12%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 09:18
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.18%EV -2.81%E -2.40%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -24.67%E -5.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 09:12
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.47%E -3.88%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.59%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:20
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.47%E -3.88%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:20
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.20%E -0.929%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:20
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.90%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:20
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.59%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:19
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.59%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:19
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.59%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:19
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.97%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.97%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.97%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +5.80%E +0.928%K +1.10%G +0.064%5.3%2026-05-26 09:19
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%6.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%6.0%2026-05-26 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.66%E -0.463%K -0.561%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.90%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:20
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.90%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:20
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.90%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:20
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.13%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.88%EV +16.63%E +2.41%K +2.82%G +0.470%4.6%2026-05-26 09:19
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +13.42%E +2.00%K +2.35%G +0.316%5.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.03%E +1.54%K +1.82%G +0.183%5.5%2026-05-26 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.03%E +1.54%K +1.82%G +0.183%5.5%2026-05-26 09:20
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%6.8%2026-05-26 09:20
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%6.8%2026-05-26 09:19
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%6.8%2026-05-26 09:20
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%6.8%2026-05-26 09:19
Grosvenor1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -5.20%E -0.929%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.62%E -7.84%K -86.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +10.03%E +1.54%K +1.82%G +0.183%6.3%2026-05-26 09:20
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -8.62%E -7.84%K -86.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +5.80%E +0.928%K +1.10%G +0.064%6.9%2026-05-26 09:19
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 84.33%EV -8.62%E -7.84%K -86.21%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.67%EV +0.214%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 09:20
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 83.99%EV -8.62%E -7.84%K -86.21%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.01%EV -2.33%E -0.403%K -0.487%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 09:20
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -8.62%E -7.84%K -86.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -2.66%E -0.463%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 09:20
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -8.62%E -7.84%K -86.21%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -4.36%E -0.771%K -0.937%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:19
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -9.45%E -8.67%K -105.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV +1.57%E +0.261%K +0.314%G +0.005%8.4%2026-05-26 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.53%EV -10.28%E -9.52%K -128.53%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -0.124%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 09:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%0.1%2026-05-26 09:20
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-26 09:20
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-26 09:20
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 85.27%6.37I 15.70%NM 14.73%6.6%2026-05-26 09:20