A Escola das Odds

Emerson Jones v Iga Swiatek

Início: 2026-05-25 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Emerson Jones (Local)

Previsão 4.77%20.94odd justa
EV +119.64%
Vantagem +2.60%
Kelly +2.66%
Crescimento +3.18%

pressupondo odds máximas de 46.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
2.13%4.96%5.02%8.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
11.0022.3920.0046.009.09%4.47%5.00%2.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Previsão 95.23%1.05odd justa
EV -3.82%
Vantagem -3.78%
Kelly -382.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
91.59%95.04%94.98%97.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.26%99.01%99.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Paddy Power46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +119.64%E +2.60%K +2.66%G +3.18%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-25 08:00
SportsBet41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +95.77%E +2.34%K +2.39%G +2.29%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 08:07
1xBet34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +62.34%E +1.83%K +1.89%G +1.18%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 09:50
FanDuel31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +48.02%E +1.55%K +1.60%G +0.769%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 08:00
William Hill29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +38.47%E +1.33%K +1.37%G +0.529%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 08:59
Neds29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +38.47%E +1.33%K +1.37%G +0.529%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +38.47%E +1.33%K +1.37%G +0.529%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 23:39
theScore Bet26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +24.15%E +0.929%K +0.966%G +0.233%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 22:00
BoyleSports26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +24.15%E +0.929%K +0.966%G +0.233%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 20:00
BetMGM26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +24.15%E +0.929%K +0.966%G +0.233%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 11:20
BetAnything25.45I 3.93%NM 3.82%EV +21.52%E +0.846%K +0.880%G +0.189%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.18%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Coolbet25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +19.37%E +0.775%K +0.807%G +0.156%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-22 08:10
Winamax (FR)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +19.37%E +0.775%K +0.807%G +0.156%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:19
Winamax (DE)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +19.37%E +0.775%K +0.807%G +0.156%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:19
Coral23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +9.82%E +0.427%K +0.446%G +0.044%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 05:30
Ladbrokes (UK)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +9.82%E +0.427%K +0.446%G +0.044%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 05:30
NetBet (FR)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +9.82%E +0.427%K +0.446%G +0.044%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 07:40
Hard Rock Bet21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +0.272%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 06:30
Codere (IT)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +0.272%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 22:10
LeoVegas20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -4.50%E -0.225%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet (SE)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -4.50%E -0.225%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -4.50%E -0.225%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet (FR)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.28%E -0.488%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 20:40
Fanatics19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.28%E -0.488%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 11:40
LowVig.ag19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.28%E -0.488%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 19:19
BetOnline.ag19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.28%E -0.488%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 19:20
Caesars19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -9.28%E -0.488%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 10:46
Betsson18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -14.05%E -0.781%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 11:56
NordicBet18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -14.05%E -0.781%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 11:55
DraftKings18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV -14.05%E -0.781%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.74%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Bovada17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -18.83%E -1.11%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 09:50
Betway17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -18.83%E -1.11%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 08:11
Bet Right16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -23.60%E -1.48%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 21:00
Marathon Bet15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -25.99%E -1.68%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 09:50
PointsBet (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.38%E -1.89%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 20:50
PlayUp15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.38%E -1.89%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 04:19
Betclic (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.38%E -1.89%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 09:48
Betr (AU)14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -31.96%E -2.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 20:50
Bet Victor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -47.48%E -4.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%0.4%2026-05-25 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%0.4%2026-05-25 09:50
Smarkets50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-05-25 09:00
Matchbook50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Novig22.73I 4.40%NM 4.29%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.71%2.4%2026-05-25 09:50