Emerson Jones v Iga Swiatek

Inizio: 2026-05-25 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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39 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

95%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Emerson Jones (Casa)

Previsione 4.77%20.94quota equa

EV +119.64%

Vantaggio +2.60%

Kelly +2.66%

Crescita +3.18%

ipotizzando la quota massima 46.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

2.13%4.96%5.02%8.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

11.0022.3920.0046.009.09%4.47%5.00%2.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Iga Swiatek (Trasferta)

Previsione 95.23%1.05quota equa

EV -3.82%

Vantaggio -3.78%

Kelly -382.26%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

91.59%95.04%94.98%97.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.26%99.01%99.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
Paddy Power	46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +119.64%E +2.60%K +2.66%G +3.18%	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-05-25 08:00
SportsBet	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +95.77%E +2.34%K +2.39%G +2.29%	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-05-25 08:07
1xBet	34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +62.34%E +1.83%K +1.89%G +1.18%	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-05-25 09:50
FanDuel	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +48.02%E +1.55%K +1.60%G +0.769%	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-25 08:00
William Hill	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +38.47%E +1.33%K +1.37%G +0.529%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-05-25 08:59
Neds	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +38.47%E +1.33%K +1.37%G +0.529%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-05-22 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +38.47%E +1.33%K +1.37%G +0.529%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-05-22 23:39
theScore Bet	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +24.15%E +0.929%K +0.966%G +0.233%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-05-24 22:00
BoyleSports	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +24.15%E +0.929%K +0.966%G +0.233%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-05-24 20:00
BetMGM	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +24.15%E +0.929%K +0.966%G +0.233%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-05-24 11:20
BetAnything	25.45I 3.93%NM 3.82%EV +21.52%E +0.846%K +0.880%G +0.189%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.18%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-05-25 09:20
Coolbet	25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +19.37%E +0.775%K +0.807%G +0.156%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-22 08:10
Winamax (FR)	25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +19.37%E +0.775%K +0.807%G +0.156%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-23 18:19
Winamax (DE)	25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +19.37%E +0.775%K +0.807%G +0.156%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-23 18:19
Coral	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +9.82%E +0.427%K +0.446%G +0.044%	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-22 05:30
Ladbrokes (UK)	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +9.82%E +0.427%K +0.446%G +0.044%	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-22 05:30
NetBet (FR)	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +9.82%E +0.427%K +0.446%G +0.044%	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-25 07:40
Hard Rock Bet	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +0.272%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-25 06:30
Codere (IT)	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +0.272%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-24 22:10
LeoVegas	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -4.50%E -0.225%K -0.237%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet (SE)	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -4.50%E -0.225%K -0.237%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-05-25 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -4.50%E -0.225%K -0.237%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet (FR)	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.28%E -0.488%K -0.515%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-24 20:40
Fanatics	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.28%E -0.488%K -0.515%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-24 11:40
LowVig.ag	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.28%E -0.488%K -0.515%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-23 19:19
BetOnline.ag	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.28%E -0.488%K -0.515%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-23 19:20
Caesars	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -9.28%E -0.488%K -0.515%G +0.000%	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-23 10:46
Betsson	18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -14.05%E -0.781%K -0.827%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-24 11:56
NordicBet	18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -14.05%E -0.781%K -0.827%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-24 11:55
DraftKings	18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV -14.05%E -0.781%K -0.827%G +0.000%	1.00I 100.00%NM 94.74%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-24 12:40
Bovada	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -18.83%E -1.11%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-25 09:50
Betway	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -18.83%E -1.11%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -4.77%E -4.77%K +0.000%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-22 08:11
Bet Right	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -23.60%E -1.48%K -1.57%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-21 21:00
Marathon Bet	15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -25.99%E -1.68%K -1.79%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-05-24 09:50
PointsBet (AU)	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.38%E -1.89%K -2.03%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-21 20:50
PlayUp	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.38%E -1.89%K -2.03%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-25 04:19
Betclic (FR)	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.38%E -1.89%K -2.03%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-25 09:48
Betr (AU)	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -31.96%E -2.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-21 20:50
Bet Victor	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -47.48%E -4.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.82%E -3.78%K -382.26%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-22 22:40

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)	42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%	1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%	0.4%	2026-05-25 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)	42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%	1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%	0.4%	2026-05-25 09:50
Smarkets	50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%	1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%	1.0%	2026-05-25 09:00
Matchbook	50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%	1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%	1.0%	2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)	50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%	1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%	1.0%	2026-05-25 09:20
Novig	22.73I 4.40%NM 4.29%	1.02I 98.04%NM 95.71%	2.4%	2026-05-25 09:50