L’École des cotes

Elina Svitolina v Belinda Bencic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 11:08 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prévision 62.70%1.59cote équitable
EV -0.940%
Avantage -0.595%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.10%62.57%62.58%65.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.511.5869.44%65.95%66.23%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Belinda Bencic (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.30%2.68cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.539%
Kelly +0.853%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.78%37.43%37.42%39.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.552.552.7242.55%39.23%39.22%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -7.21%E -4.87%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV +1.47%E +0.539%K +0.853%G +0.013%4.3%2026-05-31 10:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -9.72%E -6.75%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +0.720%E +0.267%K +0.424%G +0.003%6.5%2026-05-31 11:00
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -0.772%E -0.290%K -0.465%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 10:59
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:55
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 10:57
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -1.52%E -0.575%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 11:00
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -1.52%E -0.575%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.89%E -0.719%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-31 10:59
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 10:59
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 10:59
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 10:59
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 10:58
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -3.38%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 10:59
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 10:59
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 11:00
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 11:00
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 10:59
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 10:59
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:00
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:00
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 10:59
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:00
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:00
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:00
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -0.940%E -0.595%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -5.62%E -2.22%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-31 11:00
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -5.62%E -2.22%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 10:59
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -5.99%E -2.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 11:00
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 11:00
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 11:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 11:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 11:00
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 10:59
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 11:00
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 11:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 11:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 10:59
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 11:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 11:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 11:00
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 11:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.57%E -0.998%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.22%E -4.71%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 10:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-05-31 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-05-31 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-05-31 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-05-31 11:00
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-05-31 11:00
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-05-31 11:00