La escuela de los momios

Elina Svitolina v Belinda Bencic

Inicio: 2026-05-31 11:08 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Predicción 62.70%1.59momio equitativo
EV -0.940%
Ventaja -0.595%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.10%62.57%62.58%65.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.511.5869.44%65.95%66.23%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Predicción 37.30%2.68momio equitativo
EV +1.47%
Ventaja +0.539%
Kelly +0.853%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.78%37.43%37.42%39.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.552.552.7242.55%39.23%39.22%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -7.21%E -4.87%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV +1.47%E +0.539%K +0.853%G +0.013%4.3%2026-05-31 10:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -9.72%E -6.75%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +0.720%E +0.267%K +0.424%G +0.003%6.5%2026-05-31 11:00
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -0.772%E -0.290%K -0.465%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 10:59
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:55
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 10:57
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -1.52%E -0.575%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 11:00
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -1.52%E -0.575%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.89%E -0.719%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-31 10:59
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 10:59
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 10:59
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 10:59
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 10:58
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 11:00
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -3.38%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 10:59
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 10:59
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 11:00
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 11:00
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 10:59
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 10:59
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:00
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:00
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 10:59
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:00
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:00
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:00
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -0.940%E -0.595%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -5.62%E -2.22%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-31 11:00
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -5.62%E -2.22%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 10:59
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -5.99%E -2.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 11:00
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 11:00
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 11:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 11:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 11:00
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 10:59
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 11:00
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 11:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 11:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 10:59
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 11:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 11:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 11:00
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 11:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.57%E -0.998%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.22%E -4.71%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 11:00
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 10:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-05-31 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-05-31 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-05-31 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-05-31 11:00
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-05-31 11:00
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-05-31 11:00