L’École des cotes

Elina Svitolina v Anna Bondár

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prévision 77.90%1.28cote équitable
EV +1.27%
Avantage +0.975%
Kelly +4.22%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.43%77.94%77.64%84.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.191.171.3088.50%84.06%85.47%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Bondár (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.10%4.52cote équitable
EV +33.72%
Avantage +5.57%
Kelly +6.68%
Croissance +2.25%

avec la cote maximale 6.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.74%22.06%22.36%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.254.634.506.0530.77%21.58%22.22%16.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -11.98%E -10.60%K -92.12%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +33.72%E +5.57%K +6.68%G +2.25%5.0%2026-05-25 11:50
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -11.20%E -9.82%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +27.09%E +4.71%K +5.70%G +1.54%5.1%2026-05-25 12:04
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.11%EV +25.32%E +4.47%K +5.42%G +1.37%3.1%2026-05-25 12:00
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -10.42%E -9.06%K -69.45%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +22.67%E +4.08%K +4.98%G +1.13%5.0%2026-05-25 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -10.42%E -9.06%K -69.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +21.56%E +3.92%K +4.79%G +1.03%5.1%2026-05-25 11:49
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -11.20%E -9.82%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +21.56%E +3.92%K +4.79%G +1.03%5.9%2026-05-25 11:50
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -11.20%E -9.82%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +21.56%E +3.92%K +4.79%G +1.03%5.9%2026-05-25 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV +20.02%E +3.69%K +4.52%G +0.904%4.6%2026-05-25 11:50
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV +20.02%E +3.69%K +4.52%G +0.904%4.6%2026-05-25 11:50
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +19.35%E +3.58%K +4.40%G +0.851%4.0%2026-05-25 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -10.42%E -9.06%K -69.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +19.35%E +3.58%K +4.40%G +0.851%5.5%2026-05-25 11:50
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -10.42%E -9.06%K -69.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +19.35%E +3.58%K +4.40%G +0.851%5.5%2026-05-25 11:50
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -11.20%E -9.82%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +19.35%E +3.58%K +4.40%G +0.851%6.2%2026-05-25 11:49
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +17.14%E +3.23%K +3.99%G +0.683%4.3%2026-05-25 12:10
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +17.14%E +3.23%K +3.99%G +0.683%5.1%2026-05-25 11:50
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +16.04%E +3.05%K +3.77%G +0.605%4.5%2026-05-25 11:43
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +16.04%E +3.05%K +3.77%G +0.605%4.5%2026-05-25 11:36
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +16.04%E +3.05%K +3.77%G +0.605%4.5%2026-05-25 11:36
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +16.04%E +3.05%K +3.77%G +0.605%4.5%2026-05-25 11:36
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +16.04%E +3.05%K +3.77%G +0.605%5.3%2026-05-25 11:45
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 81.66%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.34%EV +15.15%E +2.91%K +3.60%G +0.545%4.7%2026-05-25 11:49
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +10.51%E +2.10%K +2.63%G +0.276%6.2%2026-05-25 11:36
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -10.42%E -9.06%K -69.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +10.51%E +2.10%K +2.63%G +0.276%7.0%2026-05-25 12:04
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.20%E -9.82%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +10.51%E +2.10%K +2.63%G +0.276%7.7%2026-05-25 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +6.09%E +1.27%K +1.60%G +0.098%6.3%2026-05-25 12:10
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.99%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.066%7.3%2026-05-25 12:10
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -7.30%E -6.14%K -38.43%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +2.78%E +0.597%K +0.761%G +0.021%5.5%2026-05-25 11:59
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.96%E -4.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.539%E -0.120%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 12:09
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.539%E -0.120%K -0.154%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 12:09
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.539%E -0.120%K -0.154%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 12:10
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.539%E -0.120%K -0.154%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.539%E -0.120%K -0.154%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.30%E -6.14%K -38.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -2.75%E -0.625%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 12:10
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -2.75%E -0.625%K -0.809%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 12:10
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.96%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 12:10
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.52%E -5.44%K -32.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 12:10
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.96%E -4.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.19%E -3.40%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.29%EV -7.30%E -6.14%K -38.43%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -10.49%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 12:09
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.41%E -2.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 12:10
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.96%E -4.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 12:10
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.96%E -4.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -12.70%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 12:10
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -1.85%E -1.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -14.91%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -6.52%E -5.44%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -14.91%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 12:10
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -1.07%E -0.843%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -15.79%E -4.14%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:10
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -1.85%E -1.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -16.01%E -4.21%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -17.12%E -4.56%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 12:10
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.96%E -4.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -18.22%E -4.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 12:10
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.80%EV -3.41%E -2.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -18.66%E -5.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 12:10
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.80%EV -3.41%E -2.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -18.66%E -5.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 12:10
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -20.43%E -5.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 12:10
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -22.64%E -6.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -4.19%E -3.40%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -22.64%E -6.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 12:10
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -4.96%E -4.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -23.75%E -6.88%K -9.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 12:10
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV +1.27%E +0.975%K +4.22%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -28.17%E -8.67%K -12.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-05-25 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-25 12:10
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%4.1%2026-05-25 12:10
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 73.82%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.18%5.8%2026-05-25 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%9.0%2026-05-25 12:10
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 70.24%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%16.7%2026-05-25 12:10