La escuela de los momios

Elina Svitolina v Anna Bondár

Inicio: 2026-05-25 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Predicción 77.90%1.28momio equitativo
EV +1.27%
Ventaja +0.975%
Kelly +4.22%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.43%77.94%77.64%84.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.191.171.3088.50%84.06%85.47%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anna Bondár (Visitante)

Predicción 22.10%4.52momio equitativo
EV +33.72%
Ventaja +5.57%
Kelly +6.68%
Crecimiento +2.25%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.74%22.06%22.36%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.254.634.506.0530.77%21.58%22.22%16.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -11.98%E -10.60%K -92.12%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +33.72%E +5.57%K +6.68%G +2.25%5.0%2026-05-25 11:50
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -11.20%E -9.82%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +27.09%E +4.71%K +5.70%G +1.54%5.1%2026-05-25 12:04
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.89%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.11%EV +25.32%E +4.47%K +5.42%G +1.37%3.1%2026-05-25 12:00
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -10.42%E -9.06%K -69.45%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +22.67%E +4.08%K +4.98%G +1.13%5.0%2026-05-25 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -10.42%E -9.06%K -69.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +21.56%E +3.92%K +4.79%G +1.03%5.1%2026-05-25 11:49
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -11.20%E -9.82%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +21.56%E +3.92%K +4.79%G +1.03%5.9%2026-05-25 11:50
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -11.20%E -9.82%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +21.56%E +3.92%K +4.79%G +1.03%5.9%2026-05-25 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV +20.02%E +3.69%K +4.52%G +0.904%4.6%2026-05-25 11:50
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV +20.02%E +3.69%K +4.52%G +0.904%4.6%2026-05-25 11:50
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +19.35%E +3.58%K +4.40%G +0.851%4.0%2026-05-25 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -10.42%E -9.06%K -69.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +19.35%E +3.58%K +4.40%G +0.851%5.5%2026-05-25 11:50
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -10.42%E -9.06%K -69.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +19.35%E +3.58%K +4.40%G +0.851%5.5%2026-05-25 11:50
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -11.20%E -9.82%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +19.35%E +3.58%K +4.40%G +0.851%6.2%2026-05-25 11:49
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +17.14%E +3.23%K +3.99%G +0.683%4.3%2026-05-25 12:10
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +17.14%E +3.23%K +3.99%G +0.683%5.1%2026-05-25 11:50
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +16.04%E +3.05%K +3.77%G +0.605%4.5%2026-05-25 11:43
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +16.04%E +3.05%K +3.77%G +0.605%4.5%2026-05-25 11:36
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +16.04%E +3.05%K +3.77%G +0.605%4.5%2026-05-25 11:36
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +16.04%E +3.05%K +3.77%G +0.605%4.5%2026-05-25 11:36
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +16.04%E +3.05%K +3.77%G +0.605%5.3%2026-05-25 11:45
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 81.66%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.34%EV +15.15%E +2.91%K +3.60%G +0.545%4.7%2026-05-25 11:49
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +10.51%E +2.10%K +2.63%G +0.276%6.2%2026-05-25 11:36
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -10.42%E -9.06%K -69.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +10.51%E +2.10%K +2.63%G +0.276%7.0%2026-05-25 12:04
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.20%E -9.82%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +10.51%E +2.10%K +2.63%G +0.276%7.7%2026-05-25 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +6.09%E +1.27%K +1.60%G +0.098%6.3%2026-05-25 12:10
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -9.64%E -8.31%K -60.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.99%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.066%7.3%2026-05-25 12:10
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -7.30%E -6.14%K -38.43%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +2.78%E +0.597%K +0.761%G +0.021%5.5%2026-05-25 11:59
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.96%E -4.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.539%E -0.120%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 12:09
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.539%E -0.120%K -0.154%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 12:09
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.539%E -0.120%K -0.154%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 12:10
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.539%E -0.120%K -0.154%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.86%E -7.57%K -52.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.539%E -0.120%K -0.154%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.30%E -6.14%K -38.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -2.75%E -0.625%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 12:10
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -2.75%E -0.625%K -0.809%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 12:10
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.96%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 12:10
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.52%E -5.44%K -32.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 12:10
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.96%E -4.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.19%E -3.40%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.29%EV -7.30%E -6.14%K -38.43%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -10.49%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 12:09
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.41%E -2.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 12:10
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.96%E -4.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 12:10
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.96%E -4.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -12.70%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 12:10
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -1.85%E -1.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -14.91%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -6.52%E -5.44%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -14.91%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 12:10
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -1.07%E -0.843%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -15.79%E -4.14%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 12:10
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -1.85%E -1.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -16.01%E -4.21%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -17.12%E -4.56%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 12:10
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.96%E -4.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -18.22%E -4.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 12:10
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.80%EV -3.41%E -2.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -18.66%E -5.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 12:10
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.80%EV -3.41%E -2.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -18.66%E -5.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 12:10
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -20.43%E -5.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 12:10
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -22.64%E -6.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -4.19%E -3.40%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -22.64%E -6.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 12:10
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -4.96%E -4.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -23.75%E -6.88%K -9.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 12:10
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV +1.27%E +0.975%K +4.22%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -28.17%E -8.67%K -12.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 12:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-05-25 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-25 12:10
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%4.1%2026-05-25 12:10
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 73.82%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.18%5.8%2026-05-25 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%9.0%2026-05-25 12:10
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 70.24%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%16.7%2026-05-25 12:10