Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Pridankina v Julia Avdeeva

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 10:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

71%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Pridankina (Local)

Prediction 71.43%1.40fair odd

EV -3.57%

Edge -2.65%

Kelly -10.20%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.32%71.16%71.43%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.311.311.3578.13%76.25%76.34%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Julia Avdeeva (Visit)

Prediction 28.57%3.50fair odd

EV -0.001%

Edge -0.000%

Kelly -0.000%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.54%28.84%28.57%30.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.053.283.253.5032.79%30.45%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Pridankina (Local): 71.43%; Julia Avdeeva (Visit): 28.57%. For Julia Avdeeva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50004. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50000, with an expected value of -0.001%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Marathon Bet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.57%E -2.65%K -10.20%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.86%E -4.22%K -6.27%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-20 09:56
Pinnacle🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.00%E -3.76%K -15.15%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-20 09:59
PlayUp🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.00%E -3.76%K -15.15%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-20 09:57
theScore Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.91%K -20.74%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-20 09:59
Betway🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.86%E -6.09%K -27.09%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-20 09:58
Fliff🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.86%E -6.09%K -27.09%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-20 09:59
NordicBet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -8.57%E -6.70%K -30.61%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 27.71%EV -4.57%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-20 09:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%	2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%	6.4%	2026-05-20 09:58