Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eleejah Inisan v Julia Avdeeva

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 08:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

26%

74%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eleejah Inisan (Local)

Prediction 25.84%3.87fair odd

EV +8.77%

Edge +2.08%

Kelly +2.73%

Growth +0.240%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.32%25.88%25.84%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.503.713.704.2128.57%26.96%27.03%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Julia Avdeeva (Visit)

Prediction 74.16%1.35fair odd

EV -4.33%

Edge -3.36%

Kelly -14.93%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

73.68%74.12%74.16%77.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.00%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eleejah Inisan (Local): 25.84%; Julia Avdeeva (Visit): 74.16%. For Eleejah Inisan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
NordicBet🎯	4.21I 23.75%NM 22.32%EV +8.77%E +2.08%K +2.73%G +0.240%	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.68%EV -10.26%E -8.48%K -48.87%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-18 08:10
Pinnacle🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.11%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.33%E -3.36%K -14.93%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-18 08:10
PlayUp🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.40%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.07%E -3.96%K -18.11%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-18 07:59
GTbets🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.40%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.30%E -5.84%K -29.18%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-18 07:59
theScore Bet🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.81%E -4.58%K -21.53%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-18 08:10
Betway🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.30%E -5.84%K -29.18%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-18 08:11
NetBet (FR)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -11.00%E -9.17%K -55.02%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-05-18 07:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%	1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%	9.2%	2026-05-18 08:00