Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ekaterine Gorgodze v Tamara Zidansek

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

21%

79%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ekaterine Gorgodze (Local)

Prediction 20.67%4.84fair odd

EV +5.20%

Edge +1.02%

Kelly +1.27%

Growth +0.066%

assuming max odds 5.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.95%20.56%20.80%21.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.104.504.515.0924.39%22.20%22.17%19.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tamara Zidansek (Visit)

Prediction 79.33%1.26fair odd

EV -4.80%

Edge -4.00%

Kelly -24.00%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

78.10%79.44%79.20%81.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.141.181.181.2087.72%84.96%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ekaterine Gorgodze (Local): 20.67%; Tamara Zidansek (Visit): 79.33%. For Ekaterine Gorgodze (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV +5.20%E +1.02%K +1.27%G +0.066%	1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -5.59%E -4.70%K -29.44%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-18 06:41
Marathon Bet🎯	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -2.86%E -0.609%K -0.774%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.18%E -6.14%K -42.24%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-18 09:41
PlayUp🎯	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.00%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-18 08:05
GTbets🎯	4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -5.34%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.24%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.00%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-18 07:45
NordicBet🎯	4.52I 22.12%NM 20.84%EV -6.58%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.16%EV -5.59%E -4.70%K -29.44%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-18 09:50
BoyleSports🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.18%E -6.14%K -42.24%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-18 09:55
theScore Bet🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.39%E -5.41%K -35.49%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-18 09:50
NetBet (FR)🎯	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%EV -9.56%E -8.39%K -68.29%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-05-18 09:00
Betway🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.39%E -5.41%K -35.49%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-18 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 78.10%EV -8.77%E -7.62%K -58.45%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-05-18 09:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%	1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%	3.6%	2026-05-18 09:40