Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dominika Šalková v Susan Bandecchi

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

70%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dominika Šalková (Local)

Prediction 69.62%1.44fair odd

EV -1.14%

Edge -0.799%

Kelly -2.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.53%69.03%69.62%71.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.371.371.4278.13%73.17%72.99%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Susan Bandecchi (Visit)

Prediction 30.38%3.29fair odd

EV +2.07%

Edge +0.615%

Kelly +0.876%

Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 3.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.66%30.97%30.38%34.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.703.013.023.3637.04%33.28%33.06%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dominika Šalková (Local): 69.62%; Susan Bandecchi (Visit): 30.38%. For Susan Bandecchi (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 71.34%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.17%G +0.000%	3.36I 29.76%NM 28.66%EV +2.07%E +0.615%K +0.876%G +0.018%	3.8%	2026-05-20 11:59
PlayUp🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.92%E -2.84%K -10.32%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-20 12:37
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 70.44%EV -10.88%E -8.50%K -38.87%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-05-20 12:19
Betway🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.31%E -3.91%K -14.76%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-20 12:37
GTbets🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -1.83%E -1.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -14.34%E -5.08%K -7.88%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-20 12:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -1.14%E -0.799%K -2.70%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -17.98%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-20 12:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%	3.4%	2026-05-20 12:37
Novig◎	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%	2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%	3.4%	2026-05-20 12:40