L’École des cotes

Diane Parry v Amanda Anisimova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 12:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Diane Parry (Local)

Prévision 20.99%4.76cote équitable
EV +5.79%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.083%

avec la cote maximale 5.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.09%21.24%21.05%26.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.444.405.0427.78%22.55%22.73%19.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Amanda Anisimova (Visiteur)

Prévision 79.01%1.27cote équitable
EV +1.92%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +6.63%
Croissance +0.127%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.62%78.76%78.95%80.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.211.2985.47%82.50%82.64%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -24.43%E -6.79%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +1.92%E +1.49%K +6.63%G +0.127%5.3%2026-05-30 12:09
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -24.43%E -6.79%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +1.92%E +1.49%K +6.63%G +0.127%5.3%2026-05-30 12:10
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -24.43%E -6.79%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +1.92%E +1.49%K +6.63%G +0.127%5.3%2026-05-30 12:09
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -24.43%E -6.79%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +1.92%E +1.49%K +6.63%G +0.127%5.3%2026-05-30 12:10
LowVig.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -8.90%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.03%E -1.64%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 12:10
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -8.90%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.03%E -1.64%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 12:09
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.293%E -0.062%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-30 12:10
GTbets4.68I 21.37%NM 20.68%EV -1.76%E -0.377%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.32%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 12:10
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 12:10
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:09
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:09
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 12:09
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 12:10
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 12:09
Pinnacle5.04I 19.84%NM 19.36%EV +5.79%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.64%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-30 12:10
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.34%E -0.286%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 12:10
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -4.70%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:09
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 12:09
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 12:09
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 12:09
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 12:09
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +4.95%E +0.991%K +1.24%G +0.061%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 12:10
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.293%E -0.062%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 12:09
Fanatics4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.34%E -0.286%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:10
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 12:10
MyBookie.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 12:08
BetAnything4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 12:09
DraftKings4.56I 21.93%NM 20.83%EV -4.28%E -0.939%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.17%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 12:10
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 12:09
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 12:10
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 12:10
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:10
PointsBet (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:10
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:09
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 12:09
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.04%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 12:09
Betclic (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +0.756%E +0.158%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.98%E -5.02%K -31.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 12:10
Betsson4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.98%E -5.02%K -31.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 12:10
NordicBet4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.98%E -5.02%K -31.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 12:09
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.95%E +0.991%K +1.24%G +0.061%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.293%E -0.062%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 12:09
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -1.34%E -0.286%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:10
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 12:10
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 12:10
TAB4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.756%E +0.158%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:10
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.756%E +0.158%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%0.3%2026-05-30 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-30 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-30 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-30 12:10
Novig4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%2.4%2026-05-30 12:10
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%2.6%2026-05-30 12:10