La escuela de los momios

Diane Parry v Amanda Anisimova

Inicio: 2026-05-30 12:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Diane Parry (Local)

Predicción 20.99%4.76momio equitativo
EV +5.79%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.083%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.09%21.24%21.05%26.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.444.405.0427.78%22.55%22.73%19.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Amanda Anisimova (Visitante)

Predicción 79.01%1.27momio equitativo
EV +1.92%
Ventaja +1.49%
Kelly +6.63%
Crecimiento +0.127%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.62%78.76%78.95%80.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.211.2985.47%82.50%82.64%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -24.43%E -6.79%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +1.92%E +1.49%K +6.63%G +0.127%5.3%2026-05-30 12:09
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -24.43%E -6.79%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +1.92%E +1.49%K +6.63%G +0.127%5.3%2026-05-30 12:10
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -24.43%E -6.79%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +1.92%E +1.49%K +6.63%G +0.127%5.3%2026-05-30 12:09
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -24.43%E -6.79%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +1.92%E +1.49%K +6.63%G +0.127%5.3%2026-05-30 12:10
LowVig.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -8.90%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.03%E -1.64%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 12:10
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -8.90%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.03%E -1.64%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 12:09
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.293%E -0.062%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-30 12:10
GTbets4.68I 21.37%NM 20.68%EV -1.76%E -0.377%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.32%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 12:10
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 12:10
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:09
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:09
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 12:09
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 12:10
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 12:09
Pinnacle5.04I 19.84%NM 19.36%EV +5.79%E +1.15%K +1.43%G +0.083%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.64%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-30 12:10
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.34%E -0.286%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 12:10
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -4.70%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:09
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 12:09
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 12:09
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 12:09
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.40%E -3.64%K -20.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 12:09
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +4.95%E +0.991%K +1.24%G +0.061%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 12:10
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.293%E -0.062%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 12:09
Fanatics4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.34%E -0.286%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:10
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 12:10
MyBookie.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 12:08
BetAnything4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 12:09
DraftKings4.56I 21.93%NM 20.83%EV -4.28%E -0.939%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.17%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 12:10
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 12:09
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 12:10
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 12:10
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:10
PointsBet (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:10
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:09
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 12:09
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.04%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.19%E -4.32%K -25.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 12:09
Betclic (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +0.756%E +0.158%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.98%E -5.02%K -31.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 12:10
Betsson4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.98%E -5.02%K -31.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 12:10
NordicBet4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.98%E -5.02%K -31.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 12:09
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.95%E +0.991%K +1.24%G +0.061%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.293%E -0.062%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 12:09
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -1.34%E -0.286%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:10
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 12:10
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 12:10
TAB4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.756%E +0.158%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:10
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.756%E +0.158%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%0.3%2026-05-30 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-30 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-30 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-30 12:10
Novig4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%2.4%2026-05-30 12:10
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%2.6%2026-05-30 12:10