L’École des cotes

Diana Shnaider v Oleksandra Oliynykova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Prévision 71.22%1.40cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -8.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.28%71.12%71.27%73.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.331.331.3676.92%74.91%75.19%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.78%3.47cote équitable
EV +2.17%
Avantage +0.611%
Kelly +0.850%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.95%28.88%28.73%30.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.293.303.5533.33%30.44%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.70%E -5.12%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +2.17%E +0.611%K +0.850%G +0.018%4.5%2026-05-30 09:49
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -0.710%E -0.206%K -0.290%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-30 09:30
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-30 09:49
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 09:40
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 09:40
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 09:40
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 20:38
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 09:39
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 09:40
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 21:29
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.44%E -0.719%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 09:50
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:19
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:19
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:19
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:19
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 09:40
MyBookie.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -4.45%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 09:38
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.34%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -4.74%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 17:50
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 07:30
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 07:30
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 09:40
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 09:50
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 03:10
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 09:40
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 09:40
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 03:29
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 09:40
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 21:30
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 09:40
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 09:49
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 03:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 01:49
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 23:09
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 20:39
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 20:39
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 20:39
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.70%E -5.12%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 06:50
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 09:40
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 09:40
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 18:50
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:09
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 07:30
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 23:09
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 07:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 09:39
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 08:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 08:50
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 08:50
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 06:48
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 04:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-30 09:10
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-30 09:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-30 09:10
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.78%1.0%2026-05-30 08:40