Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Diana Shnaider v Oleksandra Oliynykova

Inicio: 2026-05-30 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Predicción 71.22%1.40momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -8.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.28%71.12%71.27%73.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.331.331.3676.92%74.91%75.19%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visitante)

Predicción 28.78%3.47momio equitativo
EV +2.17%
Ventaja +0.611%
Kelly +0.850%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.95%28.88%28.73%30.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.293.303.5533.33%30.44%30.30%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Diana Shnaider (Local): 71.22%; Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visitante): 28.78%. Para Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.47. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.17%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.70%E -5.12%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +2.17%E +0.611%K +0.850%G +0.018%4.5%2026-05-30 09:49
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -0.710%E -0.206%K -0.290%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-30 09:30
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-30 09:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 09:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 09:40
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 09:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 20:38
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 09:39
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 09:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 21:29
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.44%E -0.719%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 09:50
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:19
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:19
LeoVegas🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:20
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 09:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -4.45%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 09:38
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.34%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -4.74%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 07:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 07:30
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 09:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 09:50
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 03:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 09:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 09:40
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 03:29
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 09:40
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 09:49
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 03:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 01:49
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 20:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 20:39
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.70%E -5.12%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 06:50
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 09:40
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 09:40
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 18:50
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:09
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 07:30
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 23:09
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 07:30
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 09:39
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 08:50
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 08:50
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 06:48
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 04:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-30 09:10
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-30 09:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-30 09:10
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.22%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.78%1.0%2026-05-30 08:40