The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Darja Vidmanova v Xinyu Gao

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 16:23 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Darja Vidmanova (Local)

Prediction 76.49%1.31fair odd
EV -0.560%
Edge -0.431%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.20%76.44%76.63%78.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.211.3084.75%81.38%82.30%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xinyu Gao (Visit)

Prediction 23.51%4.25fair odd
EV +1.79%
Edge +0.413%
Kelly +0.537%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%23.56%23.37%26.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.893.854.3328.17%25.72%25.97%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Darja Vidmanova (Local): 76.49%; Xinyu Gao (Visit): 23.51%. For Xinyu Gao (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.79%E +0.413%K +0.537%G +0.010%6.4%2026-05-19 16:20
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -9.74%E -8.25%K -54.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -0.093%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.68%E -5.47%K -30.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:20
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.14%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 16:21
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.32%E -1.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.85%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.15%EV -5.91%E -4.81%K -25.71%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.85%EV -12.55%E -3.37%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.560%E -0.431%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.55%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 16:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -7.44%E -6.15%K -35.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -16.55%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-19 16:16
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.08%6.2%2026-05-19 16:20