Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff v Mayar Sherif

Kickoff: 2026-05-28 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prediction 93.41%1.07fair odd
EV +1.82%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +20.24%
Growth +0.369%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%93.50%93.15%96.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.031.021.09100.00%97.10%98.04%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mayar Sherif (Visit)

Prediction 6.59%15.18fair odd
EV +71.23%
Edge +2.74%
Kelly +2.85%
Growth +2.03%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.74%6.50%6.85%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.0013.4013.0026.0014.29%7.46%7.69%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 93.41%; Mayar Sherif (Visit): 6.59%. For Mayar Sherif (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.18. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 26.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +71.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.16%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +71.23%E +2.74%K +2.85%G +2.03%2.9%2026-05-28 15:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.16%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +71.23%E +2.74%K +2.85%G +2.03%2.9%2026-05-28 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.16%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +71.23%E +2.74%K +2.85%G +2.03%2.9%2026-05-28 15:49
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +38.30%E +1.82%K +1.92%G +0.733%2.8%2026-05-28 15:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +31.72%E +1.59%K +1.67%G +0.529%3.0%2026-05-28 15:49
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +25.13%E +1.32%K +1.40%G +0.351%4.3%2026-05-28 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -6.59%E -6.59%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +25.13%E +1.32%K +1.40%G +0.351%5.3%2026-05-28 15:49
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.47%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.16%G +0.000%17.25I 5.80%NM 5.53%EV +13.60%E +0.789%K +0.837%G +0.114%4.8%2026-05-28 15:49
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.96%E +0.703%K +0.747%G +0.089%4.9%2026-05-28 15:49
Bovada🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.96%E +0.703%K +0.747%G +0.089%4.9%2026-05-28 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.96%E +0.703%K +0.747%G +0.089%4.9%2026-05-28 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 15:49
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 15:34
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 15:49
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.49%EV -2.85%E -2.74%K -71.23%G +0.000%14.93I 6.70%NM 6.51%EV -1.67%E -0.112%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-28 15:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -3.78%E -3.67%K -126.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 15:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 15:36
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -11.09%E -0.822%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 15:49
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.16%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -11.09%E -0.822%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 15:49
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -3.78%E -3.67%K -126.11%G +0.000%13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV -12.08%E -0.905%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 15:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.79%EV -3.78%E -3.67%K -126.11%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.21%EV -12.74%E -0.961%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 15:49
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -1.92%E -1.82%K -38.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-28 15:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.78%E -3.67%K -126.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 15:34
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.78%E -3.67%K -126.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 15:39
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 15:34
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 15:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.57%EV -2.85%E -2.74%K -71.23%G +0.000%12.96I 7.72%NM 7.43%EV -14.65%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 15:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.57%EV -2.85%E -2.74%K -71.23%G +0.000%12.96I 7.72%NM 7.43%EV -14.65%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 15:39
GTbets🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.18%EV -3.78%E -3.67%K -126.11%G +0.000%12.14I 8.24%NM 7.82%EV -20.05%E -1.65%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 15:29
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.85%E -2.74%K -71.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 15:34
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.78%E -3.67%K -126.11%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 15:37
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -27.56%E -2.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 15:42
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -27.56%E -2.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 15:38
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.72%E -4.62%K -235.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -27.56%E -2.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 15:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -1.92%E -1.82%K -38.30%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -30.85%E -2.94%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 15:49
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -1.92%E -1.82%K -38.30%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -30.85%E -2.94%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -1.92%E -1.82%K -38.30%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -30.85%E -2.94%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 15:49
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -2.85%E -2.74%K -71.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -34.14%E -3.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 15:39
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -0.981%E -0.925%K -16.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -37.44%E -3.94%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -0.981%E -0.925%K -16.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -37.44%E -3.94%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 15:49
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -2.85%E -2.74%K -71.23%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -37.44%E -3.94%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -2.85%E -2.74%K -71.23%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -37.44%E -3.94%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.78%E -3.67%K -126.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -37.44%E -3.94%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 15:49
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.78%E -3.67%K -126.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -37.44%E -3.94%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 15:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 89.91%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -40.73%E -4.53%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-28 15:49
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -1.92%E -1.82%K -38.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -44.02%E -5.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 15:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -1.92%E -1.82%K -38.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -44.02%E -5.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 15:49
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV +0.887%E +0.822%K +11.09%G +0.098%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -47.31%E -5.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 15:48
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV +1.82%E +1.67%K +20.24%G +0.369%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -50.61%E -6.75%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 15:47
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV +0.887%E +0.822%K +11.09%G +0.098%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -53.90%E -7.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 15:47
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%0.4%2026-05-28 15:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-05-28 15:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-05-28 15:49
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-05-28 15:49
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-05-28 15:39