L’École des cotes

Clara Tauson v Daria Snigur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Clara Tauson (Local)

Prévision 51.94%1.93cote équitable
EV +9.07%
Avantage +4.32%
Kelly +8.24%
Croissance +0.747%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.88%52.85%50.88%61.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.751.802.1065.36%57.10%55.56%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daria Snigur (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.06%2.08cote équitable
EV +22.56%
Avantage +8.85%
Kelly +14.56%
Croissance +3.28%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.11%47.15%49.12%55.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.712.081.972.5558.48%47.99%50.76%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -18.46%E -11.76%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +22.56%E +8.85%K +14.56%G +3.28%2.9%2026-05-24 16:28
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -18.46%E -11.76%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +20.16%E +8.06%K +13.44%G +2.71%3.7%2026-05-24 16:14
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -19.50%E -12.58%K -35.45%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV +19.68%E +7.90%K +13.21%G +2.60%4.7%2026-05-24 15:54
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -17.94%E -11.36%K -30.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV +17.76%E +7.25%K +12.25%G +2.17%4.1%2026-05-24 15:59
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -19.50%E -12.58%K -35.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +17.76%E +7.25%K +12.25%G +2.17%5.3%2026-05-24 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -19.50%E -12.58%K -35.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +17.76%E +7.25%K +12.25%G +2.17%5.3%2026-05-24 15:59
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -19.50%E -12.58%K -35.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +17.76%E +7.25%K +12.25%G +2.17%5.3%2026-05-24 16:23
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -20.54%E -13.42%K -38.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +17.76%E +7.25%K +12.25%G +2.17%6.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -19.50%E -12.58%K -35.45%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV +17.28%E +7.08%K +12.00%G +2.07%5.5%2026-05-24 16:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -18.98%E -12.17%K -33.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +16.80%E +6.91%K +11.75%G +1.97%5.3%2026-05-24 16:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -18.98%E -12.17%K -33.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +16.80%E +6.91%K +11.75%G +1.97%5.3%2026-05-24 16:00
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -15.86%E -9.79%K -25.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +16.32%E +6.74%K +11.49%G +1.87%3.1%2026-05-24 16:24
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -15.86%E -9.79%K -25.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +16.32%E +6.74%K +11.49%G +1.87%3.1%2026-05-24 16:25
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -18.46%E -11.76%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +16.32%E +6.74%K +11.49%G +1.87%5.0%2026-05-24 16:00
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -18.98%E -12.17%K -33.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV +16.32%E +6.74%K +11.49%G +1.87%5.4%2026-05-24 16:09
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -20.54%E -13.42%K -38.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV +16.32%E +6.74%K +11.49%G +1.87%6.7%2026-05-24 16:14
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -17.94%E -11.36%K -30.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +15.35%E +6.40%K +10.97%G +1.68%5.0%2026-05-24 16:23
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -17.94%E -11.36%K -30.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +15.35%E +6.40%K +10.97%G +1.68%5.0%2026-05-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -18.46%E -11.76%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +15.35%E +6.40%K +10.97%G +1.68%5.4%2026-05-24 15:59
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -19.50%E -12.58%K -35.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +15.35%E +6.40%K +10.97%G +1.68%6.2%2026-05-24 16:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -18.46%E -11.76%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +14.39%E +6.05%K +10.43%G +1.50%5.7%2026-05-24 16:00
TAB1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.47%E -0.716%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:30
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.19%E -6.54%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -1.47%E -0.716%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.71%E -6.89%K -16.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.47%E -0.716%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.96%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.87%E -1.94%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 16:28
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.87%E -1.94%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.87%E -1.94%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:29
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.00%E -3.31%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.31%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:30
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.00%E -3.31%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.31%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:30
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.00%E -3.31%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.31%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.27%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:30
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -6.76%E -3.48%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 16:30
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.802%E -0.420%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 16:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.63%E -5.54%K -13.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 16:30
DraftKings1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -1.32%E -0.696%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -9.64%E -5.13%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.12%E -5.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:30
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -4.96%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -10.12%E -5.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -4.44%E -2.41%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -10.60%E -5.70%K -12.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.236%E +0.122%K +0.254%G +0.001%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -11.08%E -5.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 16:30
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.236%E +0.122%K +0.254%G +0.001%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -11.08%E -5.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 16:30
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.236%E +0.122%K +0.254%G +0.001%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -11.08%E -5.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.08%E -5.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.802%E -0.420%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.04%E -6.58%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:30
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.802%E -0.420%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.04%E -6.58%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:30
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.04%E -6.58%K -14.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -1.32%E -0.696%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -12.52%E -6.88%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -1.32%E -0.696%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -12.52%E -6.88%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -1.84%E -0.974%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -12.52%E -6.88%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -12.52%E -6.88%K -15.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.802%E -0.420%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.48%E -7.49%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.87%E +1.94%K +3.87%G +0.150%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.93%E -8.43%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:30
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.87%E +1.94%K +3.87%G +0.150%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.93%E -8.43%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -0.802%E -0.420%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -15.41%E -8.75%K -20.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV +2.83%E +1.43%K +2.89%G +0.082%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -16.85%E -9.74%K -23.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 16:30
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +9.07%E +4.32%K +8.24%G +0.747%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -17.81%E -10.42%K -25.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-05-24 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-05-24 16:30
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-24 16:30
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%7.5%2026-05-24 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%9.5%2026-05-24 16:30