La escuela de los momios

Clara Tauson v Daria Snigur

Inicio: 2026-05-24 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Clara Tauson (Local)

Predicción 51.94%1.93momio equitativo
EV +9.07%
Ventaja +4.32%
Kelly +8.24%
Crecimiento +0.747%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.88%52.85%50.88%61.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.751.802.1065.36%57.10%55.56%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Daria Snigur (Visitante)

Predicción 48.06%2.08momio equitativo
EV +22.56%
Ventaja +8.85%
Kelly +14.56%
Crecimiento +3.28%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.11%47.15%49.12%55.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.712.081.972.5558.48%47.99%50.76%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -18.46%E -11.76%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +22.56%E +8.85%K +14.56%G +3.28%2.9%2026-05-24 16:28
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -18.46%E -11.76%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +20.16%E +8.06%K +13.44%G +2.71%3.7%2026-05-24 16:14
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -19.50%E -12.58%K -35.45%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV +19.68%E +7.90%K +13.21%G +2.60%4.7%2026-05-24 15:54
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -17.94%E -11.36%K -30.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV +17.76%E +7.25%K +12.25%G +2.17%4.1%2026-05-24 15:59
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -19.50%E -12.58%K -35.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +17.76%E +7.25%K +12.25%G +2.17%5.3%2026-05-24 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -19.50%E -12.58%K -35.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +17.76%E +7.25%K +12.25%G +2.17%5.3%2026-05-24 15:59
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -19.50%E -12.58%K -35.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +17.76%E +7.25%K +12.25%G +2.17%5.3%2026-05-24 16:23
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -20.54%E -13.42%K -38.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +17.76%E +7.25%K +12.25%G +2.17%6.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -19.50%E -12.58%K -35.45%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV +17.28%E +7.08%K +12.00%G +2.07%5.5%2026-05-24 16:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -18.98%E -12.17%K -33.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +16.80%E +6.91%K +11.75%G +1.97%5.3%2026-05-24 16:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -18.98%E -12.17%K -33.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +16.80%E +6.91%K +11.75%G +1.97%5.3%2026-05-24 16:00
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -15.86%E -9.79%K -25.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +16.32%E +6.74%K +11.49%G +1.87%3.1%2026-05-24 16:24
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -15.86%E -9.79%K -25.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +16.32%E +6.74%K +11.49%G +1.87%3.1%2026-05-24 16:25
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -18.46%E -11.76%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +16.32%E +6.74%K +11.49%G +1.87%5.0%2026-05-24 16:00
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -18.98%E -12.17%K -33.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV +16.32%E +6.74%K +11.49%G +1.87%5.4%2026-05-24 16:09
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -20.54%E -13.42%K -38.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV +16.32%E +6.74%K +11.49%G +1.87%6.7%2026-05-24 16:14
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -17.94%E -11.36%K -30.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +15.35%E +6.40%K +10.97%G +1.68%5.0%2026-05-24 16:23
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -17.94%E -11.36%K -30.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +15.35%E +6.40%K +10.97%G +1.68%5.0%2026-05-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -18.46%E -11.76%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +15.35%E +6.40%K +10.97%G +1.68%5.4%2026-05-24 15:59
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -19.50%E -12.58%K -35.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +15.35%E +6.40%K +10.97%G +1.68%6.2%2026-05-24 16:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -18.46%E -11.76%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +14.39%E +6.05%K +10.43%G +1.50%5.7%2026-05-24 16:00
TAB1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.47%E -0.716%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:30
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.19%E -6.54%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -1.47%E -0.716%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.71%E -6.89%K -16.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.47%E -0.716%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.96%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.87%E -1.94%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 16:28
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.87%E -1.94%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.87%E -1.94%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:29
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.00%E -3.31%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.31%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:30
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.00%E -3.31%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.31%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:30
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.00%E -3.31%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.31%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.27%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:30
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -6.76%E -3.48%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 16:30
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.802%E -0.420%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 16:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.63%E -5.54%K -13.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 16:30
DraftKings1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -1.32%E -0.696%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -9.64%E -5.13%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.12%E -5.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:30
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -4.96%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -10.12%E -5.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -4.44%E -2.41%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -10.60%E -5.70%K -12.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.236%E +0.122%K +0.254%G +0.001%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -11.08%E -5.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 16:30
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.236%E +0.122%K +0.254%G +0.001%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -11.08%E -5.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 16:30
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.236%E +0.122%K +0.254%G +0.001%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -11.08%E -5.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.08%E -5.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.802%E -0.420%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.04%E -6.58%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:30
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.802%E -0.420%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.04%E -6.58%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:30
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.04%E -6.58%K -14.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -1.32%E -0.696%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -12.52%E -6.88%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -1.32%E -0.696%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -12.52%E -6.88%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -1.84%E -0.974%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -12.52%E -6.88%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -12.52%E -6.88%K -15.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.802%E -0.420%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.48%E -7.49%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.87%E +1.94%K +3.87%G +0.150%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.93%E -8.43%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:30
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.87%E +1.94%K +3.87%G +0.150%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.93%E -8.43%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -0.802%E -0.420%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -15.41%E -8.75%K -20.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV +2.83%E +1.43%K +2.89%G +0.082%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -16.85%E -9.74%K -23.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 16:30
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +9.07%E +4.32%K +8.24%G +0.747%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -17.81%E -10.42%K -25.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-05-24 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-05-24 16:30
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-24 16:30
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%7.5%2026-05-24 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%9.5%2026-05-24 16:30