L’École des cotes

Claire Liu v Moyuka Uchijima

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 09:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Claire Liu (Local)

Prévision 55.36%1.81cote équitable
EV -0.346%
Avantage -0.192%
Kelly -0.433%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%55.45%55.24%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.711.711.8061.73%58.44%58.31%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Moyuka Uchijima (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.64%2.24cote équitable
EV +0.433%
Avantage +0.192%
Kelly +0.346%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.86%44.55%44.76%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.2550.00%47.40%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.31%E -6.37%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.433%E +0.192%K +0.346%G +0.001%6.2%2026-05-26 02:26
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.80%E -0.818%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 03:00
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.80%E -0.818%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:00
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 08:59
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 08:57
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 08:55
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.65%E -5.24%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.14%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:39
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 09:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:00
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:56
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.44%E -3.81%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 08:59
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:00
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 08:50
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 08:58
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 08:56
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 08:58
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -0.346%E -0.192%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -5.82%E -2.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 09:00
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -5.82%E -2.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -5.82%E -2.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:00
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 05:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:59
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 09:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:00
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:00
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.16%E -3.44%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:00
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.16%E -3.44%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:00
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.16%E -3.44%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:00
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.16%E -3.44%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -8.05%E -3.91%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:00
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.05%E -3.91%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 09:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 22:39
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 08:58
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 09:00
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 09:00
Betr (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.01%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.73%E -5.36%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 09:00
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.76%E -5.99%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.73%E -5.36%K -10.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-26 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-26 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-26 09:00
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-26 09:00
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-05-26 09:00