La escuela de los momios

Claire Liu v Moyuka Uchijima

Inicio: 2026-05-26 09:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Claire Liu (Local)

Predicción 55.36%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.346%
Ventaja -0.192%
Kelly -0.433%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%55.45%55.24%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.711.711.8061.73%58.44%58.31%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Moyuka Uchijima (Visitante)

Predicción 44.64%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.433%
Ventaja +0.192%
Kelly +0.346%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.86%44.55%44.76%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.102.2550.00%47.40%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.31%E -6.37%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.433%E +0.192%K +0.346%G +0.001%6.2%2026-05-26 02:26
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.80%E -0.818%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 03:00
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.80%E -0.818%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:00
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 08:59
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 08:57
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 08:55
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.65%E -5.24%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.14%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:39
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 09:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:00
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:56
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.44%E -3.81%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 08:59
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:00
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 08:50
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 08:58
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 08:56
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 08:58
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -0.346%E -0.192%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -5.82%E -2.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 09:00
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -5.82%E -2.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -5.82%E -2.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:00
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 05:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:59
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 09:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:00
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:00
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.16%E -3.44%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:00
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.16%E -3.44%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:00
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.16%E -3.44%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:00
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.16%E -3.44%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -8.05%E -3.91%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:00
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.05%E -3.91%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 09:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 22:39
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 08:58
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 09:00
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 09:00
Betr (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.01%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.73%E -5.36%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 09:00
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.76%E -5.99%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.73%E -5.36%K -10.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-26 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-26 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-26 09:00
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-26 09:00
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-05-26 09:00
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-05-26 09:00