Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.95
assuming max odds 2.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Kalinskaya (Local): 52.21%; Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit): 47.79%. For Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.91%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -15.41%E -9.51%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +9.91%E +4.31%K +7.62%G +0.755% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -9.15%E -5.26%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +1.31%E +0.616%K +1.17%G +0.015% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.15%E -5.26%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:28 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.351%E +0.167%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.97%E -2.73%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -0.605%E -0.291%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.40%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.04%E -0.994%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.63%E -4.93%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.04%E -0.994%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.40%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:26 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 12:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.54%E -3.65%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.67%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 12:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -1.84%E -0.978%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -5.38%E -2.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.38%E -2.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 12:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.97%E -2.73%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.38%E -2.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.49%E -3.03%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.38%E -2.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.86%E -2.98%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 12:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.86%E -2.98%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.34%E -3.23%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.34%E -3.23%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.34%E -3.23%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.49%E -3.03%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.34%E -3.23%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.49%E -3.03%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.34%E -3.23%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 12:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.63%E -4.93%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -3.93%E -2.13%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.29%E -3.76%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +1.82%E +0.932%K +1.91%G +0.035% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +1.82%E +0.932%K +1.91%G +0.035% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -10.64%E -5.69%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 12:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 0.2% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 12:30 |