Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Kalinskaya v Lois Boisson

Kickoff: 2026-05-26 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Kalinskaya (Local)

Prediction 70.64%1.42fair odd
EV +10.19%
Edge +6.54%
Kelly +18.21%
Growth +1.86%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%69.46%71.19%74.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.381.331.5680.00%72.26%75.19%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lois Boisson (Visit)

Prediction 29.36%3.41fair odd
EV +8.35%
Edge +2.26%
Kelly +3.10%
Growth +0.259%

assuming max odds 3.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.75%30.54%28.81%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.403.033.253.6941.67%32.98%30.77%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Kalinskaya (Local): 70.64%; Lois Boisson (Visit): 29.36%. For Anna Kalinskaya (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.42. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV +10.19%E +6.54%K +18.21%G +1.86%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -23.95%E -9.25%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-26 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +10.19%E +6.54%K +18.21%G +1.86%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -24.54%E -9.55%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +10.19%E +6.54%K +18.21%G +1.86%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -24.54%E -9.55%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 14:50
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV +10.19%E +6.54%K +18.21%G +1.86%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -29.53%E -12.30%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV +10.19%E +6.54%K +18.21%G +1.86%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -29.53%E -12.30%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 14:40
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV +9.49%E +6.12%K +17.25%G +1.64%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -26.59%E -10.64%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 14:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +9.49%E +6.12%K +17.25%G +1.64%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -28.06%E -11.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +9.49%E +6.12%K +17.25%G +1.64%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -28.06%E -11.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:40
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +8.78%E +5.70%K +16.26%G +1.43%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -25.13%E -9.85%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +8.78%E +5.70%K +16.26%G +1.43%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -25.13%E -9.85%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV +8.78%E +5.70%K +16.26%G +1.43%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -27.18%E -10.96%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:16
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV +8.08%E +5.28%K +15.24%G +1.23%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -25.13%E -9.85%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 14:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV +8.08%E +5.28%K +15.24%G +1.23%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -26.01%E -10.32%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 14:39
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +8.08%E +5.28%K +15.24%G +1.23%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -26.59%E -10.64%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:40
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +7.37%E +4.85%K +14.17%G +1.04%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -26.59%E -10.64%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +7.37%E +4.85%K +14.17%G +1.04%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -26.59%E -10.64%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:16
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV +6.66%E +4.41%K +13.06%G +0.871%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -25.42%E -10.01%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 14:36
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV +6.66%E +4.41%K +13.06%G +0.871%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -26.01%E -10.32%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.11%E -0.791%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.85%E -5.12%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.11%E -0.791%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.79%E -6.35%K -9.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -3.93%E -2.89%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -13.38%E -4.54%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.93%E -2.89%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -15.44%E -5.36%K -8.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.168%E -0.050%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 15:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.168%E -0.050%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.64%E -0.489%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.64%E -0.489%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.64%E -0.489%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.64%E -0.489%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:20
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.64%E -0.489%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.64%E -0.489%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.64%E -0.489%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.10%E -0.941%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 15:20
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:20
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:20
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.46%E -5.70%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.10%E -0.941%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.46%E -5.70%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 15:20
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.17%E -6.29%K -27.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.17%E -6.29%K -27.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.17%E -6.29%K -27.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 15:20
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.17%E -6.29%K -27.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.17%E -6.29%K -27.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 15:20
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.88%E -6.88%K -30.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.77%E +0.791%K +1.11%G +0.031%6.1%2026-05-26 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.88%E -6.88%K -30.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -9.58%E -7.49%K -34.23%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV +8.35%E +2.26%K +3.10%G +0.259%5.2%2026-05-26 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -9.58%E -7.49%K -34.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -0.168%E -0.050%K -0.070%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -10.29%E -8.10%K -38.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +5.70%E +1.58%K +2.19%G +0.125%6.5%2026-05-26 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.69%EV -10.29%E -8.10%K -38.11%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.31%EV -0.756%E -0.224%K -0.318%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.69%EV -10.29%E -8.10%K -38.11%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.31%EV -0.756%E -0.224%K -0.318%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -10.29%E -8.10%K -38.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -3.10%E -0.941%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -10.29%E -8.10%K -38.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -10.29%E -8.10%K -38.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -7.51%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-26 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -11.70%E -9.36%K -46.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-26 15:20
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-26 15:20
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%5.2%2026-05-26 15:20
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%5.5%2026-05-26 15:20