Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Blinkova v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Blinkova (Local)

Prediction 24.14%4.14fair odd
EV +8.62%
Edge +1.92%
Kelly +2.46%
Growth +0.212%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%24.57%23.81%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.863.984.5031.25%25.91%25.16%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit)

Prediction 75.86%1.32fair odd
EV +3.93%
Edge +2.87%
Kelly +10.62%
Growth +0.418%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.64%75.43%76.19%78.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.241.231.3784.75%80.34%81.30%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Blinkova (Local): 24.14%; Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit): 75.86%. For Anna Blinkova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.96%EV -18.90%E -5.62%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.04%EV +3.93%E +2.87%K +10.62%G +0.418%2.8%2026-05-24 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -20.34%E -6.16%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV +2.41%E +1.79%K +6.90%G +0.166%4.4%2026-05-24 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -20.34%E -6.16%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV +2.41%E +1.79%K +6.90%G +0.166%4.4%2026-05-24 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -22.76%E -7.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +0.896%E +0.674%K +2.72%G +0.024%6.4%2026-05-24 11:47
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -20.34%E -6.16%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV +0.137%E +0.104%K +0.429%G +0.001%6.1%2026-05-24 11:00
MyBookie.ag🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -16.96%E -4.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -0.621%E -0.474%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:10
SportsBet🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -13.83%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -1.38%E -1.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 11:02
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.52%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.14%E -1.66%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.90%E -2.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.90%E -2.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:49
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.66%E -2.88%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.66%E -2.88%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:50
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.45%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 11:50
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 11:47
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 11:40
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.43%EV -16.00%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.57%EV -5.17%E -4.14%K -20.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 11:36
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.59%E +0.609%K +0.796%G +0.021%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.93%E -4.78%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.03%E -0.252%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.93%E -4.78%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -16.72%E -4.85%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -5.93%E -4.78%K -24.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.38%E +0.329%K +0.432%G +0.006%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.38%E +0.329%K +0.432%G +0.006%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 11:50
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.38%E +0.329%K +0.432%G +0.006%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.38%E +0.329%K +0.432%G +0.006%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.69%E -5.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +8.62%E +1.92%K +2.46%G +0.212%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.45%E -6.11%K -33.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:49
DraftKings🎯4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV +5.24%E +1.20%K +1.56%G +0.082%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -7.45%E -6.11%K -33.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 11:50
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.45%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.45%E -6.11%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.45%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.45%E -6.11%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.45%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.45%E -6.11%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 11:50
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.45%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.45%E -6.11%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.45%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.45%E -6.11%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.45%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.45%E -6.11%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 11:50
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.45%E -6.11%K -33.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 11:49
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.45%E -6.11%K -33.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -16.72%E -4.85%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -7.45%E -6.11%K -33.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -19.14%E -5.71%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -7.45%E -6.11%K -33.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 11:50
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +5.00%E +1.15%K +1.49%G +0.075%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -8.21%E -6.78%K -39.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 11:40
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.03%E -0.252%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.21%E -6.78%K -39.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 11:50
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -4.65%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -8.21%E -6.78%K -39.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 11:50
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.59%E +0.609%K +0.796%G +0.021%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.97%E -7.47%K -44.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 11:50
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +1.38%E +0.329%K +0.432%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.97%E -7.47%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:50
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +1.38%E +0.329%K +0.432%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.97%E -7.47%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:49
NordicBet🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 22.68%EV -1.27%E -0.312%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.32%EV -8.97%E -7.47%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 11:50
Betsson🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 22.68%EV -1.27%E -0.312%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.32%EV -8.97%E -7.47%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.65%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.97%E -7.47%K -44.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 11:50
Fliff🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV +1.38%E +0.329%K +0.432%G +0.006%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -10.48%E -8.88%K -58.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%2.5%2026-05-24 11:50
Novig4.07I 24.57%NM 22.62%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.38%8.6%2026-05-24 11:50